Monthly Archives: September 2009

Is US Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens going to retire in 2010?

Posted on September 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in News, Politics | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Let’s challenge Panos Ipeirotis’s prediction market paper… and let’s have fun.

Posted on September 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Anonymous said… blah. First, Panos, your results would suggest that the volatility on Super Tuesday would be lower than on a random Tuesday in July when there is zero news flow. Second, there is no reason to expect short term … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Bank Bailouts Turn Profit For U.S. Government.

Posted on September 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

TARP:

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Prediction markets VERSUS Prediction markets on prediction markets VERSUS Conditional prediction markets

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Panos Ipeirotis: [...] If I interpret correctly what you suggest, this will be equivalent to a “prediction market on a prediction market”, aka “options on markets”: Guess where the price of a long term market will be at set points … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

The heads of major exchanges offered somewhat diverging views on plans by the CFTC and the SEC to reconcile their rule books.

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The heads of major exchanges offered somewhat diverging views on plans by the CFTC and the SEC to reconcile their rule books. “A big concern shared by both exchange operators is that turf battles have slowed the approval of new … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Andrew Gelman on forecasting and statistical models

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Andrew Gelman visits Google’s Mountain View headquarters: The 2008 presidential election and state polls:

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Science | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Forecasting the Economy: Art, Science or Both?

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Professor Ryan Ratcliff takes an inside look at the art and science of forecasting.

Posted in Economics, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

BOOBY-TRAP EGGS

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Events & Meetings, Humor | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

betfair misleading ads

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Guess which website comes up as #1 on Google Search for “betfair misleading ads“… Congrats to the Swiss chocolate-addicted Niall O’Connor.

Posted in Midas Oracle Archives, Midas Oracle Statistics | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

BetFair has been ordered to drop starting price ad. — Misleading BetFair ads are now banned in the UK.

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

BetFair has been ordered to drop starting price ad. Misleading BetFair ads are now banned in the UK. The UK’s advertising watchdog has ruled against a promotional campaign run by betting exchange Betfair after the company failed to qualify its … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment