Monthly Archives: September 2009

Tap The Collective — The Photos

The speakers: Our good friend Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets (his dress code: “you should dress”): Melody Hildebrandt: The speakers (minus Adam Siegel and Melody Hildebrandt): So, now that it is over you can tell me, what were Adam Siegel’s … Continue reading

Posted in Events & Meetings | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

US Senator Al Franken is a pragmatic and bipartisan politician. The gentleman from Minnesota can discuss with both sides of the health care reform issue.

Posted in News, Politics | Leave a comment

Are InTrade just a bunch of liars?

As of today, InTrade have not retracted their claim that IBM Smart Cities is a “prediction market”. It is not. InTrade are the least trustworthy people that I have ever encountered in this field. They are never to be trusted. … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Somos el primer mercado de predicciones en Latinoamérica

http://bolsadepredicciones.com/ Best wishes to Andrea Chaves.

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Paul Krugman ridiculizes Justin Wolfers’s thesis advisor.

Paul Krugman – (How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?): [I]n a 2008 paper titled “The State of Macro” (that is, macroeconomics, the study of big-picture issues like recessions), Olivier Blanchard of M.I.T., now the chief economist at the International … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Economics, Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How many people would use a FaceBook app featuring prediction markets?

ANSWER: A lot more than the BetFair and InTrade clients combined. FaceBook: Statistics General Growth * More than 250 million active users * More than 120 million users log on to Facebook at least once each day * More than … Continue reading

Posted in Information Technology, The Internet | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Airbus chief executive Thomas Enders said on Friday that the European aircraft manufacturer was working towards replacing “black box” recorders with a system that transmits flight data via satellite.

How come they haven’t come up with this idea decades before? In many crashes, the flight recorders (“black boxes”) are never recovered.

Posted in Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Women.

Posted in Humor | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Which event planning tool can we use for a prediction market meeting?

- Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets recommends EventBrite, which he used for “Tap The Collective” (all went well, I am told). – The WordPress and Google people use MeetUp. WordPress and Google are no stupid, so I am sure it … Continue reading

Posted in Events & Meetings, Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How did “Tap The Collective” fare?

- Did Melody Hildebrandt wear a dress? – If “yes”, which color? – What were Adam Siegel’s eggs filled with? – [Harsh spice? See next line.] – How did Robin Hanson’s corporate shepherd behave?

Posted in Events & Meetings, Humor | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment