Monthly Archives: August 2009

Prediction Markets and the First Amendment

Prediction Markets and the First Amendment

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There’s a persuasive theory underlying Robin Hanson’s proposal…

… “but we’ll never know how well it works until someone puts it to the test.“ Exactly. Robin Hanson, do act on your proposal —instead of doing blah blah blah. The flaw(s) in the futarchy idea will appear in plain … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Decision Making | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

LinkedIn group for Economists, Econometricians and Statisticians

LinkedIn group for Economists, Econometricians and Statisticians For those who have something in common with economist Mike Giberson… who blogs at Knowledge Problem about energy economics —and has never used prediction markets for that goal (FAIL ).

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The multi blog features of WordPress MU will be merged into the standard WordPress software, after which the standard WordPress software will have all the features of MU and MU will be phased out.

“The multi blog features of WordPress MU will be merged into the standard WordPress software, after which the standard WordPress software will have all the features of MU and MU will be phased out.” Excellent. One WordPress installation will be … Continue reading

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Google Caffeine upgrades NewsFutures, downgrades the Iowa Electronic Markets.

Google Search versus Google Caffeine for “prediction markets” P.S.: For those who don’t follow Midas Oracle on a daily basis (how dare), Google Caffeine is the future Google Search. UPDATE: The Inkling Markets website goes on page 2, on Caffeine. … Continue reading

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Search Engine Optimization | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Remove your Flash cookies

You Deleted Your Cookies? Think Again. – FireFox: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/6623 – MicroSoft Windows: http://www.ccleaner.com/ – Macintosh OS: http://machacks.tv/2009/01/27/flushapp-flash-cookie-removal-tool-for-os-x/ I had 120 of those fucking Flash cookies. Removed all of them. Bastards.

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Smarkets.com launch

Smarkets Where is the second part of this video?

Posted in Betting, Business, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

We’ve tried the experiment of having the White House occupied by someone with no intellectual curiosity whatsoever. How do you think that went?

I agree with Paul Krugman —for once.

Posted in Politics, Psychology | Tagged | Leave a comment

After spending years badmouthing the prediction markets, Niall O’Connor now embraces their core principle —collective intelligence.

Go backward in time to read how Niall O’Connor treated the prediction markets. Here’s the new frontpage of his website: Here’s the frontpage of Midas Oracle: Niall, welcome to the club.

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

bwin Betting

bwin Betting They don’t say who is writing that blog.

Posted in Betting, Gambling, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment