Monthly Archives: August 2009

Who is FoolsGold?

That guy/gal left pretty smart comments on our good doctor Pennock’s blog… If you know who is FoolsGold, contact me.

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Listing Our Thinkers — Who should I add in the list?… Seeking your input…

Midas Oracle = Internet Strategy + Collective Forecasting Our approach: Organic Marketing Objective Predictions Contact: cfm |-at-| midasoracle |.|-com-| Our Inspiration: Chris Anderson Michael Masnick Matt Mullenweg Matt Cutts Marissa Mayer Paul Graham Marc Andreesen Guy Kawasaki Seth Godin Robin … Continue reading

Posted in Midas Oracle Network | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Prediction Markets and Public Policy: New ways to harness the wisdom of crowds

Prediction Markets and Public Policy: New ways to harness the wisdom of crowds – (PDF file) – by Matt Burgess Victoria University and the Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation recently launched iPredict.co.nz, New Zealand’s first real money … Continue reading

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Bookmark the links to the video posts on a social bookmarking service, and watch them when you’re at home, after work.

That would be my answer to this: Or you could download them from YouTube on a USB flash drive, and bring your memory stick with you, going home.

Posted in Information Technology, Internet Usability | Tagged | Leave a comment

Are IBM Smarter Cities prediction markets too smart for people?

IBM Smarter Cities prediction mechanisms 20 prediction lines Only one socially generated prediction is over 50%. UPDATE: The first version of this post used the term “prediction markets”, because that is how Spigit brands these mechanisms, but, on a closer … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Forecasting | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 39 Comments

Simple Healthcare Observations

As always, Nate Silver does an excellent job of processing the news, but his recent analysis of government health insurance polling neglects a crucial part of the question: willingness to pay. Why take pains to accurately portray a public policy … Continue reading

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French TV anchor will launch a collective forecasting website.

Patrick Poivre D’Arvor (alias “PPDA”) is said to be planning a social prediction website. Will it be powered by a prediction market technology, or else? Mystery wrapped in a riddle inside an enigma. UPDATE: A new play-money betting operator opens … Continue reading

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InTrade still can’t spell “blogging”.

The InTrade “Gazette”

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Using Google Chrome browser to access BetFair

We are told to use: http://www.betfair.com/Index.do

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Why you should *not* install your business in Monaco

The Principality of Monaco (“une principauté d’opérette”) is not a place to do business: – Monaco has a single ISP, which has a legal monopoly. So, when that ISP is down, all the businesses are barred from operating online. Impossible … Continue reading

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