Monthly Archives: August 2009

What will happen at the Inkling Markets event in Washington, D.C.

- It is an evening event. – They won’t be serving any dinner. – The event is free. – People can buy their own drinks and food, if they wish. – The talks will be short —a few minutes for … Continue reading

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Unlike soap or deodorant, which can be placed by marketing, shaving is very much performance. – Bill Steele

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Location for a conference on prediction markets?

Folks, Do you have suggestions about places in San Francisco? New York City? London? I like what Inkling Markets are doing with “Tap The Collective”. They do it the low-cost way (in a restaurant). It is smart. Do you have … Continue reading

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What do the CIA, the NASA, the World Bank and the Oak Ridge National Laboratory have in common?

They are all going to participate in Inkling Markets’ DC conference about collective forecasting and prediction markets. Is the location a restaurant?… !??…

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When we score the accuracy of thousands of predictions from hundreds of experts across dozens of countries over twenty years, we find the best forecasters tend to be modest about their forecasting skills, eclectic in their ideological and theoretical tastes, and self-critical in their analytical styles.

“Relative to foxes who are less encumbered by loyalties to an all-encompassing worldview, hedgehogs offer bolder forecasts and, although they hit occasional grand slams, they strike out a lot and wind up with decidedly poorer batting averages.“ Philip Tetlock –of … Continue reading

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David Rajakovich has had his paper accepted for publication by The Journal of Prediction Markets.

David Rajakovich has had his paper accepted for publication by The Journal of Prediction Markets.

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Will betting legalization save US print journalism?

Mortimer Zuckerman: There is something that can be done, and the federal government ought to do it: allow sports betting on newspaper Web sites. Michael Masnick agrees.

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The Prediction Market Police

I should have listened to Panos Ipeirotis…!!!…

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Financial Markets and the Singularity

Video by Peter Thiel – Financial Markets and the Singularity

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Why BetFair, InTrade, the Hollywood Stock Exchange, etc., should suppress the IT restrictions imposed on their employees.

Jim Finkle: Can you please let the staff use an alternative web browser called FireFox? I just – (applause) – I just moved to the State Department from the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency and was surprised that State doesn’t use … Continue reading

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