Monthly Archives: August 2009

Unlike every other academic field, computer science uses conferences rather than journals as the main publication venue.

Lance Fortnow: While this made sense for a young discipline, our field has matured and the conference model has fractured the discipline and skewered it toward short-term, deadline-driven research. Computer science should refocus the conference system on its primary purpose … Continue reading

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A good New York Times editorial I agree with

It says that prediction markets are easier to interpret than the Google Search (or Yahoo! Search, or Bing Search) statistics —when you’re about forecasting any trend.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Justin Wolfers: “It’s not a washing machine, it’s actually a famous chair design (the bubble chair). I love the chair (if not the pic).”

Justin Wolfers @ FaceBook

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The blog “Betting @ BetFair” gets a small facelift —but remains mediocre.

Betting @ BetFair — US Sports One thing I notice: they have closed all the comments. (They hadn’t received any, anyway.) A British Internet agency is managing its web design. I maintain that it is a low-quality blog. PageRank = … Continue reading

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InTrade CEO John Delaney will soon follow Robert Scoble’s path —I predict.

On Twitter, Robert Scoble used to employ an automatic program that allows him to follow everyone who follows him. He ended up with hundreds of thousands of people to follow —the bulk of them being patented idiots and trolls. He … Continue reading

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The Singularity University looks at prediction markets and collective intelligence.

David Orban: In its ten tracks Singularity University (SU) tries to cover as much as possible of a vast amount of material. The specifics are steered by the track chairs, with a lot of input from both the students, the … Continue reading

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CrowdCast Market Research

CrowdCast Market Research Previously: CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

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The Prediction Market Industry Association is pitiful.

No update since October 22, 2007. Miserable.

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The Singularity University + The Prediction Markets

Spot the 3 men on the right-side of the photo: – In blue, our good friend Mike Linksvayer of Creative Commons; – In red, the Google guy in charge of open-source software; – In grey, Matt Mullenweg of WordPress. So, … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Education | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Spezify on “prediction markets”

Spezify on “prediction markets” Amazing outputs —not as useful as Google’s outputs, though. Here is the one that is captioned, “Any predictions?” ( ): Robin Hanson

Posted in Humor, Information Technology, People | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment