Monthly Archives: August 2009

Midas Oracle now appears faster than ever in your Google Reader thanks to PubSubHubBub.

Midas Oracle now appears faster than ever in your Google Reader thanks to PubSubHubBub. About 10 minutes after publication, some times —half an hour later, at other times. (Within Google Reader, put up your mouse cursor, without clicking, onto the … Continue reading

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Search terms: prediction markets vs. betting markets

Search terms: prediction markets vs. betting markets Via the British betting expert

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How the Financial Times failed its readership through an over willingness to swallow the UK betting industry’s nonsensical spin.

How the Financial Times failed its readership through an over willingness to swallow the UK betting industry’s nonsensical spin. Dixit the British betting expert

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Journalism, Midas Oracle Archives, Prediction Journalism | Tagged | Leave a comment

Testing my new WordPress-to-Twitter plugin — ± ! @ # $ % ^ & * ( ) _ + – = <> ? , . /

Testing my new WordPress-to-Twitter plugin — ± ! @ # $ % ^ & * ( ) _ + – = ? , . / Sorry for this post, folks. UPDATE: AW=SO=ME.

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Tyler Cowen on Creating Your Own Economy

Tyler Cowen on Creating Your Own Economy – Tyler Cowen’s new book, “Create Your Own Economy” — Blogging Heads TV – (BloggingHeads.TV) MP4 file – Create Your Own Economy – by Tyler Cowen The Path to Prosperity in a Disordered … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Politics, Psychology, Resources - References, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Government-Run Health Care Will Cost Much More than the Politicians Are Telling You.

Health Care Reform Prediction Markets Via Cato Embedded video from CNN Video -

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

User revolt against the de facto monopolies in prediction markets?

InTrade (in the U.S.) and BetFair (in the U.K.) are de facto monopolistic, real-money prediction exchanges. Will those monopolies spur users to revolt? Will we see an open-source movement in prediction markets? That’s the question I asked privately to some … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Prediction markets in the World Bank

“CGAP, an independent research center housed in the Bank and focused on microfinance, is trying to use prediction markets to assess the future of mobile banking.” http://cgap.inklingmarkets.com/

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Redefining Collective Intelligence

Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On – (PDF file) – by Tim O’Reilly and John Battelle Not a single word on collective forecasting…!!!… What a nuclear shame.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Events & Meetings, The Internet | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

BetFair (The Sporting Exchange) might be floated.

“We don’t need to raise capital but we will need a liquidity event [to allow shareholders to cash in]… A float is an obvious option.”

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