Monthly Archives: August 2009

McKinsey on the X Prizes

“Well designed prizes carry a strong element of theater that makes them newsworthy and media friendly. This messaging and brand-building potential is attractive to corporations looking to burnish their image or wealthy donors seeking to signal their arrival.” PDF file … Continue reading

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Internet marketing videos to watch

If you have an interest in Internet marketing, I highly recommend that you watch the 4 videos made at Revenue BootCamp 2009. They are awesome.

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For the past ten years, the business models of the traditional bookmakers have been impacted by both BetFair and the level playing field that the oddscheckers have introduced. The UK bookmakers, spurred on by their government, selected to put their heads in the sand, through embracing fixed odds betting terminals.

“The profit flows that the bookmakers accrued from said machines, have served to mask the decline of the traditional retail estate, telephone betting and the reduced margins that have come about as a result of the highly competitive internet betting … Continue reading

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“risk free rate” … VERSUS … “CD rates”

Ben Shannon should have said “CD rates” in his line, Deep Throat tips us. [*] When someone says “risk free rate“, he/she means the central bank rate, not the “Intervest National Bank” rate. (Are they solvent?) Also, with CDs, you … Continue reading

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Does “collective decision making” encompass “prediction markets”?

Collective decision making = prediction markets voting systems information propagation recommender systems

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Robin Hanson wants to use *YOU* as his first Guinea Pig for his futarchy experiment.

Robin Hanson: Yes of course new ideas for organizations should be tried first in smaller organizations. Do let me know of any small orgs interesting in experimenting. Here’s how to contact Robin Hanson: rhanson AT gmu DOT edu In the … Continue reading

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Is Robin Hanson’s Futarchy Full Of BullShit?

Why doesn’t Robin Hanson implement his grandiose idea on a small organization (like George Mason University), as opposed to a national government, to see whether it makes sense? I suspect it doesn’t. Prediction markets have very, very slightly improved the … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Politics | Tagged , , , , | 6 Comments

Golden Eye

A golden-eyed frog discovered in Eastern Himalayas

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See the future’s Google Search results on prediction markets and collective forecasting

Google Caffeine Google Caffeine – “prediction markets” Google Caffeine – “collective forecasting” About Google Caffeine What’s going to change

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The risk free rate of return over the next years

Ben Shannon (alias “Jesse Livermore”, who blogs at “Wiser Than The Crowd”): The risk free rate of return over the next 3 years is 9%. Risk free rates are much lower, Deep Throat tips us. Ben Shannon doesn’t sound right. … Continue reading

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