Comments on: The Singularity University + The Prediction Markets http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/02/the-singularity-university-the-prediction-markets/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: David Orban http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/02/the-singularity-university-the-prediction-markets/#comment-24431 David Orban Mon, 03 Aug 2009 05:58:01 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=15858#comment-24431 In its ten tracks Singularity University (SU) tries to cover as much as possible of a vast amount of material. The specifics are steered by the track chairs, with a lot of input from both the students, the teaching fellows, and also sometimes from the outside. The Futures Studies & Forecasting track does indeed cover prediction markets, and yes, if not a proper market, tasks, ideas, and group activities are often evaluated using group raking tools within SU. David David Orban Advisor & European Lead, Singularity University NASA Ames, Bldg 17 Moffett Field, CA 94035, USA www.singularityu.org/david In its ten tracks Singularity University (SU) tries to cover as much as possible of a vast amount of material. The specifics are steered by the track chairs, with a lot of input from both the students, the teaching fellows, and also sometimes from the outside. The Futures Studies & Forecasting track does indeed cover prediction markets, and yes, if not a proper market, tasks, ideas, and group activities are often evaluated using group raking tools within SU.

David

David Orban
Advisor & European Lead, Singularity University
NASA Ames, Bldg 17 Moffett Field, CA 94035, USA
http://www.singularityu.org/david

]]> By: Mike Linksvayer http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/08/02/the-singularity-university-the-prediction-markets/#comment-24430 Mike Linksvayer Sun, 02 Aug 2009 16:44:39 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=15858#comment-24430 Prediction markets and mechanisms generally certainly ought to a topic. I'll ask when I see one of the people involved again. Relatedly, it sounded like they were using a polling mechanism to rank a large number of potential class projects, and debating whether to add a question about expertise in certain fields so as to weight responses. Obviously for a situation like that prediction markets have some nice properties, but also high costs. Prediction markets and mechanisms generally certainly ought to a topic. I’ll ask when I see one of the people involved again.

Relatedly, it sounded like they were using a polling mechanism to rank a large number of potential class projects, and debating whether to add a question about expertise in certain fields so as to weight responses. Obviously for a situation like that prediction markets have some nice properties, but also high costs.

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