Monthly Archives: August 2009

Tap the Collective is a venue to discuss how collective intelligence – efficiently drawing upon diverse and distributed knowledge – can be used to help address government problems.

“In organizations where knowledge and know-how is trapped within agencies, teams, and hierarchies, collective intelligence solutions enable decision-makers to efficiently gather actionable information without the political overhead that usually accompanies meetings, status reports, emails, and other standard communication methods.” Next: … Continue reading

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WikiTrust is a MediaWiki extension that implements an author reputation system, and a text trust system, for wikis. WikiTrust adds to a wiki a check text tab that enables any visitor to check the author, origin, and reliability of wiki text. Thus, visitors can easily spot spam, surreptitious changes, and information tampering.

“Called WikiTrust, the program assigns a color code to newly edited text using an algorithm that calculates author reputation from the lifespan of their past contributions. It’s based on a simple concept: The longer information persists on the page, the … Continue reading

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Wikipedia has hired consultants to tell it how to diversify its contributors and its offerings.

“Eugene Kim has been hired to come up with a strategic plan for Wikipedia.”

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Online betting is not recession proof.

In a promotional piece, printed to accompany a report entitled; “Is betting and gaming really recession proof” Cameron Cartmell, head of hospitality and leisure at Ernst & Young was quoted as saying; “The online gaming industry is likely to do … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Betting, Business | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

The San Francisco clown obsesses with Midas Oracle.

Here is what that clown puts as keywords on his ‘cluster’ frontpage (click on “Page Source” in your browser): meta name=”keywords” content=”prediction markets, prediction market, CCI, Emile, Center for Collective Intelligence, Midas Oracle, Robin Hanson, James Surowiecki, prediction, markets, clusters, … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics | Tagged , , , , , | 9 Comments

What IBM Smarter Cities are doing is NOT a prediction market, but instead a polling system.

What IBM Smarter Cities are doing is NOT a prediction market, but instead a polling system. Dixit Jed Christiansen.

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InTrade continue to misrepresent IBM Smarter Cities.

2 hours ago, InTrade has published another tweet labeling the IBM Smarter Cities polling system as “prediction markets”. InTrade keeps propagating a fallacy on the Internet. UPDATE: Jed Christiansen’s post

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Steve Blank on entrepreneurship and startups

Steve Blank on entrepreneurship and startups: Steve Blank’s Stanford lecture on entrepreneurship and startups: Pt 1 of 9 Rethinking the Product Development Process Pt 2 of 9 Assessing Customer and Market Risks Pt 3 of 9 The Customer Development Process … Continue reading

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Steve Blank’s marketing – Customer Development

“Customer Development certainly lacks the drama of the overnight pizza to Porsche success story, and doing it properly takes time. However, in return you maximize your chance of finding customers who will give you their money before you run out … Continue reading

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Prediction markets are not beauty contests, and InTrade are not truth-oriented people.

Panos Iperotis: [T]he “truth grounding” of prediction markets serves to avoid the self-reinforcement described above. If a market, grounded on a real outcome, says A=90% and B=10% one day before expiration, and I believe that B is the real winner, … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Ethics, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment