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- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
- Why Samsung is no Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney @ Bain Capital — [VIDEO]
- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
- Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]
- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
- Much better than a bike… and more affordable than a SegWay… –> The Me-Mover — [VIDEO]
- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: July 2009
FanDuel co-founders = HubDub co-founders
Tom Griffths, Rob Jones and Chris Stafford Nigel Eccles and Lesley Eccles Previously: HubDub launches FanDuel exclusively thru TechCrunch UK, which is, of course, upbeat on its future. Here’s a more critical take.
Posted in People
Tagged Chris Stafford, FanDuel, FanDuel co-founders, HubDub, HubDub co-founders, Lesley Eccles, Nigel Eccles, Rob Jones, Tom Griffths
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FanDuel (by HubDub) is launched exclusively thru TechCrunch UK, which is, of course, upbeat on its future. Here’s a more critical take.
HubDub is a huge success in term of Internet popularity (pageviews, time spent on the site, etc.). However, HubDub has no business model, other than trying to get bought up by some bigger fish. Which is why Nigel Eccles and … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Business & Economic Models, Entrepreneurship, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Internet Strategy, Regulations
Tagged baseball, Betting, business models, FaceBook, FanDuel, fantasy baseball, fantasy football, fantasy leagues, fantasy sports, football, HubDub, Internet Marketing, Internet Strategy, marketing strategy, Nigel Eccles, social betting, social games, social gaming, TechCrunch UK, Twitter, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006, Unlawful Internet Gaming Act of 2006
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CrowdCast is *not* going to die.
Jed Christiansen disagrees with my interpretation of his anti-CrowdCast post. I disagree with his own mis-interpretation of his own verbatim.
Taxing real-money prediction markets to solve the US public deficits?
Three U.S. states are pushing plans for video poker and slot machines as their legislators hope gambling income will compensate for declines in taxes.
Posted in Betting, Business, Gambling, Regulations
Tagged Betting, Gambling, laws, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, taxes
2 Comments
Your search – “wiser than the crowd” site:slate.com – did not match any documents.
Your search – “wiser than the crowd” site:slate.com – did not match any documents.
Posted in Miscellaneous
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CrowdCast is going to die.
That’s the bombastic [under]-statement from prediction market kid Jed Christiansen (well known, usually, for his conformist views), who argues that VC-funded companies and small-growth markets don’t mix well. That is a reasonable argument. We should pull for CrowdCast, anyway. Previously: … Continue reading
Twitter has destroyed the usefulness of the predictive models because information flows faster than your algorithm.
How Twitter is confounding predictive modeling
The redesign of the Hollywood Stock Exchange website
… as seen by our good friend Peter Seed. Interesting take.
CrowdCast = market mechanism = binary spreads with a market maker
Leslie Fine (CrowdCast Chief Scientist) to me: Actually, our mechanism is a market, it’s just not a stock market. We use an automated market maker to efficiently price every bet, adjust crowd beliefs, and price an interim sell. In essence, … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Collective Forecasting, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs
Tagged automated market makers, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, collective intelligence that predicts, CrowdCast, event derivative markets, Leslie Fine, market designs, market makers, market mechanisms, markets, Mechanism Designs, prediction markets
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