Monthly Archives: July 2009

Will Lance Armstrong win the 2009 Tour De France?

Posted on July 12, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

BetFair: 85% Alberto Contador – (Alberto Contador Velasco) – [Updated odds] HubDub: Will Lance Armstrong Return to win the 2009 Tour De France? Will Lance Armstrong wear the yellow jersey in the Tour de France? Who will win the 2009 … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

It is interesting that Robin Hanson often takes the “X is not about X” tack, yet has relatively sanguine views about the sustainability of market manipulation.

Posted on July 12, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The “accusation” is made by Jason Ruspini.

Posted in Philosophy, Psychology | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Andrew Goldberg on InTrade’s prediction markets

Posted on July 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

PoliTickR

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Robin Hanson is a web community super star.

Posted on July 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Andrew Gelman: I’ll write something fuller on my own blog, but I have to admit I envy Robin the lively and thoughtful participation he gets here. Robin is certainly doing something right to be generating this sort of discussion every … Continue reading →

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Robin Hanson’s Freudian slip

Posted on July 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Andrew Gelman: Hi, Robin. I will have to read your blog entry in more detail, but just glancing at it, I noticed what we used to call a “Freudian slip”: You wrote, “In a post titled ‘Another reason I’m glad … Continue reading →

Posted in Humor | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The prediction market conferences are way overpriced.

Posted on July 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- $300 for a TechCrunch conference —featuring the top Silicon Valley people. – $400 for a commercial conference on prediction markets —featuring one or two boring academics and a microscopic bunch of second-tier collective forecasting managers. Obviously, the TechCrunch conference … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Events & Meetings | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

WordPress plugin authors should not ask for donations, but sell their services —or *anything* else.

Posted on July 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

“Is WordPress A Thankless Community?“ – That’s a question asked by Jeff Chandler. Many of the plugin authors I have spoken with throughout the community tell me that very rarely do they ever get a donation let alone a Thank … Continue reading →

Posted in Business & Economic Models, Information Technology, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Internet Strategy, Jobs - Careers - Hiring | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Simple Forecasts Best

Posted on July 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Simple Forecasts Best Review of the book, “Dance With Chance” — Spot the video.

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Annoying InTrade Outages

Posted on July 10, 2009 by Guest Author

InTrade usually closes the session for end of the day processing at 2am EST for 10-15 minutes. Yesterday (Thursday, July 10, 2009), it was 2.5 hours and counting. No advance notice and no explanation… —vintage InTrade. 2.5 hours is 10% … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Alain Badiou = Being and Event = Mathematics as Ontology

Posted on July 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Niall O’Connor has more in common with Robin Hanson than you would have thought one hour ago: They both love philosophy (i.e., blah blah blah). Niall O’Connor: Chris, On a broader point, you would be well served as a Frenchman … Continue reading →

Posted in Philosophy | Tagged , , , , , , , | 3 Comments