Monthly Archives: July 2009

You Bet: The BetFair Story — How Two Men Changed the World of Gambling — By Colin Cameron — HarperCollins

The Economist’ review of the book The Economist on the European betting market

Posted in Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, History, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

BetFair USA in Silicon Valley is building a social betting website.

CNN Money: The plan is to build a technical team that can combine that television property with a brawnier website, which can stream live horse races to viewers and add all the social media bells and whistles, including Twitter feeds, … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Internet Strategy, Regulations, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Here’s why we haven’t heard about Jed Christiansen for months

The prediction market kid is writing a dissertation on YCombinator. Interesting topic.

Posted in Business, Entrepreneurship, Finance | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Wiser Than The Crowd is now on Twitter.

http://twitter.com/WiserCrowd He has 7 followers. Midas Oracle (on Twitter) has 290 followers —we are the most followed prediction market resource on Twitter. Midas Oracle is #1. We are the best. All that said in all French humility, of course.

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InTrade is exaggerating the usefulness of collective forecasting via prediction markets.

Look at the market liquidity —too insignificant to say anything: InTrade (like many other industry players and scholars) are exaggerating the usefulness of the prediction markets. When there is no liquidity, just keep your mouth shut. Wait until the market … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

TED Spread

TED Spread:

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Andrew Gelman to Robin Hanson: You want *simple* forecasting methods? We do them, too. As a matter of fact, we do *all* kinds of forecasting methods at Columbia —both the complicated ones and the simpler ones. Come to my class, buddy.

Mike: July 16, 2009 at 2:54 pm I suspect you two might be arguing about two different things. I presume Robin admits that *some* people go to college to learn, they go to the “best” schools to increase the chances … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Leave a comment

CFO Predict

CFO Predict http://www.cfo.com/predict http://www.cfo.com/cfopredictionmarket/ Behind a wall. By CrowdCast

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

BrainJuicer

BrainJuicer Solutions –> All Solutions –> Concept Screening (Predictive Marketsâ„¢) BrainJuicer @ Twitter Via our good friend Keith Anderson

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The Robin Hanson Quizz Of The Day

- Signalling… with 2 “l”s… as spelled by Wikipedia…??… – Signaling… with 1 “l”… as spelled by our good doctor Hanson…??…

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