Monthly Archives: June 2009

The Accuracy Of Prediction Markets

Posted on June 12, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- A Lesson in Prediction Markets from the Game of Craps – by Paul Hewitt – Why Public Prediction Markets Fail – by Paul Hewitt Both articles are required reading for Jed Christiansen and Panos Ipeirotis (alias “Prof Panos”).

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged , , , , , , , | 24 Comments

Lance Fortnow’s daughter loved it, so David Pennock’s daughter will love it too.

Posted on June 12, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

How to download Yann Arthus-Bertrand’s documentary film, HOME

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What are the pros and cons about applying prediction markets in Federal Government (e.g. DoD, FAA, DHS) for research and acquisition of systems (e.g. IT, networking, wireless)?

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

LinkedIn

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Go trading enterprise prediction markets… if you want to meet the boss.

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Adam Siegel: One incentive that doesn’t get much attention is granting “exclusive access” to traders. The most successful format we’ve seen of this is picking those who are regularly participating in the marketplace, i.e. “20 random traders with 20 or … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Cases, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Psychology | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Daily Chuck = the best blog on prediction markets

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Well, that is, if you put aside Midas Oracle, Freakonomics, Wiser Than The Crowd, Mercury, and Odd Head. The Daily Chuck is written by… Chuck… the pseudo of a collegian from Florida. It is focused on InTrade’s prediction markets. I … Continue reading →

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Why is the web traffic surging?

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

We have one winner and two losers. The winner: Daniel Horowitz of The Emergent Fool – Yes, as Daniel guessed it, Google is sending about one thousand people a day on Midas Oracle .ORG, and more than half of that … Continue reading →

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The Freakonomics song

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Economics, Entertainment | Tagged , | Leave a comment

This post is a (also) test.

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I am testing the pingback ability. (An anti-spam plugin was wrongfully blocking Midas Oracle, we are looking into this.) Sorry for this post.

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The web traffic to Midas Oracle is exploding.

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Can you guess why? Leave your guess in the comments. (Jason Ruspini is excluded from the contest; I told him.) UPDATE: Our secret is revealed…

Posted in Midas Oracle Statistics | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

North American Derivatives Exchange = Nadex = Ex-HedgeStreet

Posted on June 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Apology to all (and to Chris Hibbert in particular), my link was broken, yesterday. North American Derivatives Exchange http://demo.nadex.com/ Thanks to our reader AE for the tip.

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