Monthly Archives: June 2009

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Paul Saffo – Effective Forecasting

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Changing the world thru organic marketing and more objective predictions?

I have a question for you, guys. – Do you think we could all start a movement and change the world? Midas Oracle = Internet Strategy + Collective Forecasting Our approach: Organic marketing Objective forecasting Our means: Mastering both the … Continue reading

Posted in Midas Oracle Project | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

eLab eXchange – Will Twitter Rule the World?

Will Twitter Rule the World? Rising along side of the social networking revolution, Twitter, the short message and microblogging service, has become nearly as popular as social network sites like Facebook. With China blocking Twitter on the anniversary of Tienanmen … Continue reading

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Accurate prediction markets

Stupidity, as defined by Prof Panos… Panos Ipeirotis: [...] It is largely stupid to call “successful” a continuous market that gets the average right but has a very high spread over the outcomes. Similarly, it is stupid to call a … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , | 11 Comments

The Automated Economy — by David Pennock

David Pennock is a now rock star… in India: – David Pennock’s post on The Automated Economy – Videos – The Automated Economy

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology, The Internet | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Koleman Strumpf on how weaker copyright protection benefits society

Koleman Strumpf on how weaker copyright protection benefits society

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David Pennock on The Automated Economy

- His post. It’s the closest I’ll ever be to a rock star. A handful of people wait patiently around me while I try to get to everyone. Eventually the PR folks rescue me and take me to a “high … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology, The Internet | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Why did Brad DeLong pick on our Eric Zitzewitz?

Jason Ruspini: It seemed like Delong interpreted the mere suggestion of 10% interest rates as a veiled attack on the Obama administration. That would explain the unfairly harsh and pedantic manner of his post. I think that Delong is right … Continue reading

Posted in Finance, Politics, Psychology, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

How to Circumvent an Internet Proxy

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