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Recent Posts
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
- Why Samsung is no Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney @ Bain Capital — [VIDEO]
- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
- Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]
- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
- Much better than a bike… and more affordable than a SegWay… –> The Me-Mover — [VIDEO]
- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: June 2009
CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts
The fine people at CrowdCast (Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine) are finally out today with their brand-new, no-trading, collective forecasting mechanism. The purpose is to aggregate information across one organization so as to generate the most objective business forecasts. The … Continue reading
Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs, Software
Tagged Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, employee intelligence, enterprise intelligence, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, forecasting, information aggregation, information aggregation mechanisms, internal prediction markets, Leslie Fine, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, polling, prediction markets, private prediction markets, trading, Xpree
3 Comments
Chris Pirillo on HubDub’s prediction markets
Chris Pirillo on HubDub’s prediction markets
Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged Betting, betting markets, Chris Pirillo, event derivative markets, HubDub, News, prediction markets
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Andrew Gelman makes more sense than Robin Hanson.
Andrew Gelman: I would go with the commonsensical view that academia is primarily an institution for teaching and research. I think of the credentialing as a byproduct. Sounds logical.
Posted in Psychology
Tagged academia, Andrew Gelman, credentialing, Research, Robin Hanson, teaching
2 Comments
James Surowiekci snubs Robin Hanson, and, in return, Robin Hanson mocks James Surowiekci.
Robin Hanson: I don’t really know if Surowiecki likes my proposal, or even knows of it. He’s never returned my emails, though maybe he’ll see this post. I suspect that he sees my proposal is too “out there†to befit … Continue reading
Posted in People, Psychology
Tagged decision markets, decision-aid markets, James Surowiekci, Kiss My Ass, prediction markets, Robin Hanson
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BREAKING NEWS: THE DARK AGE IS OFFICIALLY OVER.
How do I know that? Well, yesterday, the ultra Yahoo!-fanboy David “I like curry” Pennock has finally registered with Google Webmaster Tool (in addition to Yahoo! Site Explorer). So, yesterday, his Yahoo! fanaticism ended for ever, and we will all … Continue reading
Posted in Humor
Tagged Dark Ages, David Pennock, fanaticism, fanboys, Google, Humor, Yahoo!
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Andrew Gelman teaches a valuable lesson to Robin Hanson: Quit bragging about your high IQ, man.
“there’s more to life –even to academic life– than being smart and insightful.” Excellent point.
Posted in Psychology
Tagged Andrew Gelman, intellectual quotient, intelligence, IQ, Robin Hanson, smart, smartness
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WordPress blog hacked: What to do, now?
A nasty hacker has taught a lesson to research scientist David Pennock. The lesson is that our WordPress blogs are not secure, and we should be pro-active in reinforcing their line of defense. David Pennock’s post describing how his blog … Continue reading