Monthly Archives: June 2009

Social networking tool Spigit goes enteprise prediction markets.

Spigit Read & Write Web Twitter

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Robin Hanson wants to see only one emerging head —his.

First, Robin Hanson expelled all his co-bloggers (now encapsulated at Less Wrong). And, now, our Master Of All Universes puts that weird comment policy, which basically prevents anyone from stealing his show: Comments: Anyone can comment here, but spam and … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

ROBIN HANSON CENSORS A CONTRADICTOR.

As I undertand it, Robin Hanson has deleted a comment from “Dan” (someone who sided with Eric R. Weinstein), for the simple reason (to be confirmed) that Dan’s comment was 900 words long —much longer than the 500-word limit that … Continue reading

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Inside Venture as an alternative to IPOs.

- Inside Venture – Bloomberg

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IBM = a bunch of idiots

They license this video with Creative Commons ["CC" is for closed caption], and they don’t allow me to embed it in my blog. And when I click on an external web link on their site, I am treated with a … Continue reading

Posted in Finance | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

The best Internet strategy

Give something away. + Give them a reason to buy something else.

Posted in Business & Economic Models | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Traded bets — a la Robin Hanson

“g” commenting on Robin Hanson’s blog: the main point of the transaction [i.e., a contract floated on a market] is that it happens in a framework set up to enable third parties to extract information from the bets made. The … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

They love coding too much.

- The people that Robin Hanson expelled from his blog are coding their own blogging software. – As for Our Master Of All Universes, he codes his own WordPress theme (overcomingbias.com/wp-content/themes/overcoming-bias/) and inserts his own hacks into it. UPDATE: Robin … Continue reading

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Professor Richard Wiseman misunderstands both the (real) wisdom of crowds and the (hypothetical) mechanism of precognition.

Professor Richard Wiseman (from the University of Hertfordshire) does not understand that: – His psychic experiment on Twitter can’t be qualified as harnessing “the wisdom of crowds”, since there is no information that the participants can ever aggregate (since they … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Precognition | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment