Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
I don’t really know if Surowiecki likes my proposal, or even knows of it. He’s never returned my emails, though maybe he’ll see this post. I suspect that he sees my proposal is too “out there” to befit a respected New Yorker columnist, and so wouldn’t endorse it even if he knew of and privately liked it.
Addendum: James Surowiecki on boards
Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Chris F. Masse on American Civics Exchange = CFTC-regulated Exempt Board of TradeChris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformPaul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Jason Ruspini on Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.Jason Ruspini on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”