Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
My post re-publishing the InTrade check received by Wiser Than The Crowd has been mis-interpreted by him. There was nothing about “hating the game” in my post. It was just a reference to the “sheep and wolves” concept floated by Robin Hanson. (See also the Iowa Electronic Markets research on their traders.)
Go reading more research papers, Erik.
Daniel Horowitz on Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health care reform?
Paul Hewitt on Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem — InTrade Prediction MarketsPaul Hewitt on Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)
Chris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer bettingDaniel Horowitz on What’s wrong with soccer bettingChris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer bettingDaniel Horowitz on What’s wrong with soccer betting
Medemi on What’s wrong with soccer bettingChris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer betting
Michael Giberson on What’s wrong with soccer betting