Monthly Archives: May 2009

Chris Masse appears in a fly-by analogy.

Here: http://www.haloscan.com/comments/caveatbettor/3098722113787876052/

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BirdBet = Tiny bets over Twitter

BirdBet = Tiny bets over Twitter I will check it later this morning, as the website is down right now. No idea how it works. Via our good friend Byrne Hobart at LinkedIn

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Twitter and the prediction markets

There is here one extremely popular Twitter application for talking online about stocks. Maybe, one prediction market startup will apply the same concept to prediction markets. Download this post to see the embedded video above.

Posted in Finance, Information Technology | Tagged , , , , | 7 Comments

Mine is bigger and longer.

I have twice more followers than he has —and I started well after he did. I am the best.

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Google Wonder Wheel – Prediction Markets

More links

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Keeping an eye on those Yahoo! research scientists

In my previous post, I told you what are the 3 main issues about prediction markets. (There are many more. Space limitation.) As far as I know, as of today, one group of researchers is very likely to produce some … Continue reading

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Are prediction markets useful to our global civilization?

Announcement from the Prediction Markets group at LinkedIn: Hello dear members, We all love prediction markets. We are [286] on this group. Please, do forward this e-mail to one or two of your friends who love the prediction markets, so … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice), Midas Oracle Administration, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Will any prediction market startup surge like *that*?

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Wiser Than James Surowiecki

In my previous post, I made an attempt at piercing the real identity of “Wiser Than The Crowd”… … Here is his reply: Thanks for the link. Though I’m flattered that my writing is good enough to confuse someone into … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Prediction Journalism, Psychology | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Making money on the spreading (or taming) of H1N1

For info, see our good friend “Caveat Bettor”, which is the pseudonym of a savvy New York-based financial expert —who made no mystery of his real identity to moi (I won’t tell). See also “Wiser Than The Crowd”, which is … Continue reading

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