Monthly Archives: May 2009

Was Larry King a horse racing betting addict in the late 60s and early 70s?

Posted on May 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

In the video, he denies. He suggests (if I understand well) that his passion for betting on ponies didn’t prevent him to have a normal productive life. – - The Daily Show With Jon Stewart M – Th 11p / … Continue reading →

Posted in Miscellaneous | Tagged addiction, Betting, betting addiction, Gambling, gambling addiction, gambling problem, Larry King, problem gambling | Leave a comment

Confusing the prediction markets with the non-trading collective intelligence solutions

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: Chris, in the context of that discussion I meant [*] â€œprediction marketâ€ to also cover the related collective forecasting mechanisms; I wasnâ€™t trying to make a statement on that topic. I have said many times that the main … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Explainers | Tagged Collective Intelligence, collective intelligence solutions, prediction markets, Robin Hanson | 10 Comments

IndiaPX – India’s Prediction Market

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

IndiaPX – India’s Prediction Market Best wishes to Vipul and his team. I am sure Indians will ultimately adopt prediction markets.

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting exchanges, betting markets, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, India, IndiaPX, prediction exchanges, prediction markets | 4 Comments

Timetric is a service for storing, searching, graphing and publishing the world’s statistical data.

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Timetric See Jed Christiansen for how prediction exchanges and prediction market analysts could make use of this service, but I dislike the fact that Timetric charts don’t go into feeds.

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged archives, data, statistical data, Timetric | 2 Comments

Prediction markets failed miserably at forecasting accurately the American Idol winner.

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Aggregating information was not enough to predict the future —this time. Our prediction exchanges won’t issue any statement about it: They will keep it under the rug. When their prediction markets succeed, they brag about it in the media. But … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged accuracy, American Idol, Collective Intelligence, efficiency, InTrade, prediction markets, velocity, wisdom of crowds | Leave a comment

NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I am happy to run Emile Servan-Schreiber’s correction (well, correcting me ) on the fact that NewsFutures still provides EPM SaaS, since I love NewsFutures’s CDA technology as much as Chris Hibbert does. However, I maintain that providers of collective … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Software | Tagged Collective Intelligence, collective intelligence solutions, corporate prediction markets, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Aggregation, internal prediction markets, NewsFutures, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, software for prediction markets, wisdom of crowds | 2 Comments

Should you be bullish on enterprise prediction markets?

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: There is now a prediction market industry, where I do a lot of consulting, most of which is to private companies.Â Most of these are on prediction markets, but some are decision markets. What Robin Hanson does not … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, decision-aid markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Aggregation, Inkling, inkling markets, internal prediction markets, NewsFutures, prediction market industry, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, wisdom of crowds | 8 Comments

I typed “predictions” in Wolfram Alpha, and I got that… among other things.

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- And now, for “forecasting”:

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged Forecasting (Science & Practice), Internet search, Predictions, Search Engines, Web search, Wolfram Alpha | Leave a comment

How come prediction exchanges are ranking so low for American Idol?

Posted on May 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Midas Oracle has received many visitors from Google this week, thanks to the great work of Ryan from HubDub. I tried to understand why. Turn out when you type “american idol prediction market” (you can add the “s” at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged American Idol, BetFair, Google Internet Search, Google Search, Google Web Search, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, HubDub, InTrade, prediction exchanges, prediction market industry, prediction market startups, prediction markets, Search Engines | Leave a comment

Internet Business Models

Posted on May 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I have opened a second LinkedIn group (the first is centered on prediction markets), this time on the topic of Internet business models, and how they differ from the physical world’s ones. Feel free to join moi (I am the … Continue reading →

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Midas Oracle Administration, Midas Oracle Network | Tagged Business & Economic Models, Internet Business Models group at LinkedIn, Internet Marketing, LinkedIn, LinkedIn group on Internet Business Models, Midas Oracle, Midas Oracle .NET | Leave a comment

Monthly Archives: May 2009

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