Monthly Archives: May 2009

Forecasting or Predicting?

Posted on May 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: “Collective prediction” sounds a lot more awkward to my ear than “collective forecasting.” “Collaborative prediction” sounds just as bad. I don’t think most people see much a difference between “forecasting” and “prediction”, other than that, “forecasting” is a … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Why reporting stuff about prediction markets means bugging the prediction market people till they spit the truth finally

Posted on May 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

If you have been a feed subscriber of Midas Oracle for a long time (we started in 2006 here, and in 2003 for CFM), you know that I act as a gadfly. But there is a reason for that. If … Continue reading →

Posted in Consulting, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Why BetFair and InTrade as media can’t be trusted

Posted on May 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

TechCrunch: As a consumer, when’s the last time you read an advertorial and walked away inspired or informed? Never. And this is my version of the question: As a consumer, when’s the last time you read a post by BetFair … Continue reading →

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Twine on prediction markets

Posted on May 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Twine on prediction markets So far, as lame as Squidoo.

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Collective Forecasting, Anyone?

Posted on May 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The Question Of The Day: – What do you make of the term “collective forecasting”, coined (apparently) by our good doctor Hanson? Do you think it is appropriate? Does it convey the right message about the specificity of our information … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , | 18 Comments

Wall Street goes open source…

Posted on May 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Marketcetera is an open source platform for strategy-driven trading, providing you with all the tools you need for strategy automation, integrated market data, multi-destination FIX routing, broker neutrality and more. CNET News: Wall Street goes open source… Humm… The prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance, Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Feed My Inbox = RSS to Email

Posted on May 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Feed My Inbox = RSS to Email – (Feed to Email) A great way to subscribe to Midas Oracle… for those who don’t like using a feed reader like Google Reader or else… Kind of like an e-mail newsletter, if … Continue reading →

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Real-time prediction market price quotes on your blog

Posted on May 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Thanks to this WordPress plugin. Look up the price quote (in red) at the last line of this page, and compare it with the source (spot “last price” in bold black). Will our good Doctor Pennock (who is on WordPress) … Continue reading →

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Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Posted on May 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Like the term? Leave a comment.

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Peer-to-peer lending is crossing the SEC’s hair.

Posted on May 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The comment is made in the video by VC Fred Wilson at 21:22 into. Video on the other blog, which is devoted to Internet business models. (This present blog remains focused on prediction markets, and we will be developed greatly … Continue reading →

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