Monthly Archives: May 2009

Wikipedia is cracking down on self-serving edits.

Wikipedia is cracking down on self-serving edits. This guy should watch out.

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Institutional Decision Analysis

Institutional Decision Analysis – a concept by Andrew Gelman The term “decision analysis” has multiple meanings in Bayesian statistics. When we use the term here, we are not talking about problems of parameter estimation, squared error loss, etc. Rather, we … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Emile Servan-Schreiber coined the term “collective forecasting”… Robin Hanson popularized it…

… and Midas Oracle is reaping all the benefits. I am laughing thru my a**.

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Why reporting on *one* expired prediction market is no fun… when using the scientific approach

Panos Ipeirotis hates it when I report an individual prediction market “failure“. (“Stupidity” is how he labelled it. ) I am a fan of Panos Ipeirotis’s scientific approach on prediction markets. It is all right. However, I (obviously) won’t use … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Google PageRank Update

A Google Toolbar PageRank update is underway. It will take a few hours or days to update on all of their datacenters. Check your PR at the end of this week, using the FireFox add-on or any Web-based PR checker. … Continue reading

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged , | 7 Comments

Mobile site review: BetFair

Mobile site review: BetFair

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Software | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

IncentAlign – Harness the power of free markets for your firm…

IncentAlign – Harness the power of free markets for your firm…

Posted in Consulting, Software | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Imaginatik is the leading provider of collaborative innovation and enterprise crowdsourcing solutions.

Imaginatik is the leading provider of collaborative innovation and enterprise crowdsourcing solutions.

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged | Leave a comment

In which I respectfully disagree with Patri Friedman

Patri Friedman (commenting on the Robin Hanson gadfly’s post): Ah, Mencius. Combines a brilliant insight on prediction markets that I hadn’t seen before and increases my understanding (they require training) with ridiculously stupid points like “They can’t predict things that … Continue reading

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Patenting the prediction markets?

Robin Hanson is not amused. Here is a CNET article on how to fix the US patent system.

Posted in Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment