Monthly Archives: May 2009

Advanced Twitter Search

Posted on May 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I recommend that you take a look at and bookmark “Advanced Twitter Search“. Amazingly precise.

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged Twitter Search | Leave a comment

As I told you the other day, I am very impressed by P2, a new interactive WordPress theme. I have not selected it for Midas Oracle (I chose WP FrameWork), but I think that P2 will influence a lot of … Continue reading →

Posted in Information Technology, Internet Usability, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged blog usability, Internet Usability, Open Media, P2, themes, usability, Web usability, WordPress | Leave a comment

“If prediction markets are not consistently more accurate than other means of forecasting, they will never have a chance in the business world.”

Posted on May 6, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

…is… the sentence of the day.

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Midas Oracle Archives | Tagged accuracy, consistency, Forecasting (Science & Practice), prediction markets | Leave a comment

Enterprise prediction markets have no benefits for businesses.

Posted on May 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Paul Hewitt: My review of the literature and case studies (that have been published) indicates that prediction markets have improved the accuracy of forecasts, but the improvements have not been great enough to encourage widespread (or even minimal) acceptance. Furthermore, … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged businesses, Consensus, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), internal prediction markets, opinions, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, private prediction markets, public prediction markets | 6 Comments

TOTAL DESTRUCTION

Posted on May 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Paul Hewitt asses a research paper by the Iowa Electronic Markets scholars… and what’s left is just a little stack of ashes.

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Consensus, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, internal prediction markets, opinions, prediction markets, private prediction markets, public prediction markets | 11 Comments

Public prediction market operator InTrade raises US$3.5m.

Posted on May 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

They secured the capital from their existing shareholders. Via Fabian John

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged capital, Finance, InTrade, Money | Leave a comment

What prediction markets can learn from Twitter — REDUX

Posted on May 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

S-I-M-P-L-I-C-I-T-Y + C-U-S-T-O-M-I-Z-A-T-I-O-N Twitter is a very simplistic core. Around that core is a whole ecosystem that adds value to Twitter. You have a large choice of “Twitter clients”, and there are plenty of websites out there that complement the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Internet Usability, Inventions & Innovations, Software | Tagged design, Internet design, Internet Marketing, Internet Usability, marketing, prediction markets, simple, simplistic, Twitter, usability, web design, web marketing, Web usability | Leave a comment

Prediction Markets on Midas Oracle

Posted on May 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

As you have seen, Ryan of HubDub have published about a bunch of play-money prediction markets that are hot this week. I hope that Ryan will come back each week to update us. This possibility to inform the Midas Oracle … Continue reading →

Posted in Midas Oracle Administration, Midas Oracle Project | Tagged Intitute Of Prediction Markets, Midas Oracle, Prediction Market Institute, prediction markets | Leave a comment

The horse that Steve Levitt predicted would finish last… actually won the Kentucky Derby.

Posted on May 4, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Thankfully, no one pays attention. I would like to read what Nate Silver thinks of horse racing forecasting.

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Humor | Tagged Forecasting (Science & Practice), horse racing, Humor, Kentucky Derby, predicting, prediction, Steve Levitt | Leave a comment

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Posted on May 4, 2009 by Ryan

Hubdubâ€™s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how theyâ€™re likely … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged adam and danny, American Idol, betting markets, boston celtics, Collective Forecasting, contestants, divorce, epidemic, event derivative markets, female justice, final two, H1N1, HubDub, influenza, Influenza A (H1N1), Italy, Justice Souter, Mexican Flu, Mexico, National Basketball Association, NBA, nba playoffs, new wife, orlando magic, pandemic, playoffs, prediction markets, Silvio Berlusconi, Sonia Sotomayor, souter, Supreme Court, supreme court justices, supreme court nominees, swine flu, WHO, World Health Organization, young woman | Leave a comment

Monthly Archives: May 2009

Advanced Twitter Search

P2 = a revolution in blogging

“If prediction markets are not consistently more accurate than other means of forecasting, they will never have a chance in the business world.”

Enterprise prediction markets have no benefits for businesses.

TOTAL DESTRUCTION

Public prediction market operator InTrade raises US$3.5m.

What prediction markets can learn from Twitter — REDUX

Prediction Markets on Midas Oracle

The horse that Steve Levitt predicted would finish last… actually won the Kentucky Derby.

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Meta

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