Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets

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I am happy to run Emile Servan-Schreiber’s correction (well, correcting me :-D ) on the fact that NewsFutures still provides EPM SaaS, since I love NewsFutures’s CDA technology as much as Chris Hibbert does. However, I maintain that providers of collective intelligence solutions for companies are turning their back to the trading technology, from what I gather. To wrap up this discussion, I would like to ask a question to Emile. NewsFutures does list here 4 tools. Could Emile tell us how popular each of these tools is? I would like a percentage for each of these 4 tools. In other words, could Emile quantify EPMs in the whole collective intelligence solution panorama? Is that inferior to 50% or superior to 50%? Please. Thanks.

2 Comments to NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets

  1. May 25, 2009 at 12:32 AM | Permalink

    I think Emile explained his position quite well in his comment. He needs to offer a non-market based mechanism to cover all his bases lest this offering become popular. And, to compete with Crowdcast of course. It wouldn’t be fun to just concede the whole non-market market to them.

    I’m guessing the overwhelming majority of people are currently running market based EPMs (i.e. >50%)

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