For info, see our good friend “Caveat Bettor”, which is the pseudonym of a savvy New York-based financial expert —who made no mystery of his real identity to moi (I won’t tell).
See also “Wiser Than The Crowd”, which is probably the pseudonym of a very smart financial expert, financial entrepreneur and prolific book author —with ties to InTrade (which he should disclose, if it were the case). [He denies. My update.]