Monthly Archives: April 2009

BetFair’s co-founder is fed up with betting on horses. He has withdrawn most of his money from his BetFair account.

Posted on April 4, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Andrew Black: I’ve had a few bets while I’ve been away with no success. I took most of the money out of my account just before I left – I needed it to support a few investments. I don’t have a lot … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Psychology | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Tips for Google Reader

Posted on April 4, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- Install GreaseMonkey on your FireFox. – Google Reader for Wider Screens – Google Reader Preview Enhanced – (Use: Shift + V)

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Yet another reason to buy Macintosh computers

Posted on April 4, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

A good (and sometimes hilarious) article from Apple Insider, which highlights the P.R. problems that MicroSoft auto-create each time the Redmond folks try to bash the Macintosh via fake ads… disingenuous ads.

Posted in Business, Information Technology, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

The Art Of Prediction

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Nate Silver is writing up 2 books. The first is a Freakonomics-style guide to politics that answers questions like “Is there really a Bradley Effect?” while the second is on the art of prediction, a book that will draw on … Continue reading →

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Delicious loves InTrade and Inkling.

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

#1 = InTrade #3 = Inkling Markets Congrats to both of them. Note that David Pennock’s explainer on MSR made the list —further proof that this research scientist is “indispensable”. Ha! ha! ha!… (The cemeteries are full of indispensable men, … Continue reading →

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The miracle of information aggregation and prediction accuracy

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Philip Tetlock interviewed (last year): IDEAS: Any individual expert is likely to be wrong. What happens when you put a bunch of them in the same room? Does the consensus come up with a better prediction than the individual? TETLOCK: … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Psychology, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

GreaseMonkey scripts for prediction markets?

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Does anybody know of any GreaseMonkey script(s) for prediction markets? Thanks. Appreciated.

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Wisdom of Crowds… or… Folly of Crowds…?…

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via Niall O’Connor of Betting Market, James Surowiecki: So if the folly of crowds got us here, is there any hope for using the wisdom of crowds to get us out? I’m hesitant to offer any forecast that would be … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

A strategic approach for organizations which are using Twitter to connect with their audiences, developed by Ogilvy’s 360 Degree Digital Influence group.

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Information Technology, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How the bandwagon wrecked the wisdom of market crowds

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Niall O'Connor

In a desperate attempt to save his theory of the “wisdom of crowds” – the bedrock of the prediction markets, Surowiecki does the previously unthinkable and refers to “the folly of crowds.” (a phrase I myself have used in the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment