Monthly Archives: April 2009

Prediction markets about science and technology

http://science.newsfutures.com/ NewsFutures + Science & Vie (a science magazine published in the F country) In French, alas, but I am sure Emile would lend the same technology to some English-speaking magazines in the U.S. or the U.K. that would want … Continue reading

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Reality bites.

- The editors of the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity for 2009 are David Romer and Justin Wolfers. Justin Wolfers’ website

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Prediction markets in the pharmaceutical industry

Truly bizarre “research”.

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Professors as circus animals

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PartyGaming PLC said Tuesday it has reached a non-prosecution agreement with U.S. authorities over its defunct operations there, with the online gambling group agreeing to pay a $105 million… “fee”.

Wall Street Journal – $$$

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They love to badmouth *the people*…

… but they come in droves to *the place*.

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“The model predicts that by 2012, almost half of the 50 states would vote against a marriage ban, including several states that had previously voted to ban it.”

If HudDub were to float that Nate Silver prediction, it would be much more interesting that the flat and static stuff at Wrong Tomorrow. And HubDub would obtain the same end goal: ranking the best predictors (provided that Nigel Eccles … Continue reading

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Inkling Markets for the Apple iPhone

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Connect With Fans (CwF) + Reason To Buy (RtB) = The Business Model ($$$$)

Trent Reznor (the leader of Nine Inch Nails) offers his music for free on the Internet. He manages to make money selling concerts and merchandising products thanks to the community of fans he has empowered on his website. He does … Continue reading

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Vans with loudspeakers had driven around the town of L’Aquila, Italia, a month ago telling locals to evacuate their houses after seismologist Gioacchino Giuliani predicted a large quake was on the way, prompting the mayor’s anger.

Gioacchino Giuliani, who based his forecast on concentrations of radon gas around seismically active areas, was reported to police for “spreading alarm” and was forced to remove his findings from the Internet. More on Google. “They called me an imbecile,” … Continue reading

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