Monthly Archives: March 2009

Another day… and yet another lie from the BetFair SEO artists…

The BetFair SEO artists (and other “social media consultants”) would say just say *anything* and do *anything* to get a blogger to link to betting.betfair.com. Including a falsification. Here is what they e-mailed me: [...] betting.betfair.com. You may or may … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , | Leave a comment

InTrade’s Accounts and Balance Sheets — 2007 and 2008

This material is available on: http://www.cro.ie/ . . – 2007 – - – 2008 – There might be a slight discrepancy between the accounts and the balance sheet. If you, too, spot it, then publish a comment just below, and … Continue reading

Posted in Business, Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

The 6 little things David Pennock didn’t tell you about the Prediction Market Institute

- #1. – It is not such a great idea to call it a “prediction market institute”, for the reasons that it excludes the non-market mechanisms and the other collective intelligence mechanisms. (See Daniel’s comment on the Pennock blog, here.) … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Midas Oracle Project | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments

How to represent soccer bets visually

BetFair has its own answer… Take a quick look.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Software | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Some news about the e-mailing list on prediction markets

It is being spammed by a David Brin, who writes long political diarrhea that nobody is really interested in. Jed Christiansen complained about that intrusion of politics, which has nothing to do with prediction markets.

Posted in Miscellaneous | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Did that guy really read those academic papers about prediction markets?

I want to share a remark with you, today. Here is a man from Holland who recruited by e-mail some US-based “advisors” —one ocean away. One curious online recruit he made is professor Christopher Wlezien, the co-author of an academic … Continue reading

Posted in Consulting | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Should research scientist David Pennock lead the Prediction Market Institute?

- Should we create a Prediction Market Institute? – Should we ask doctor David Pennock to super-head it? – Should we have a Prediction Markets Consortium that will anchor itself somewhere in an educational institution or non-profit foundation? – Should … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Entrepreneurship | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Some enterprise prediction markets work very well… —some others are just a waste of time.

Jed Christiansen: [...] When it comes to the first point, forecasting something that the company already forecasts, prediction markets may or may not be an excellent solution. I’ve seen one set of markets that absolutely blew away the accuracy of … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

The European Union has ruled that betting and gambling is *NOT* an economic activity to which internal market rules on freedom to provide services should apply.

- “MEPs yesterday (10 March) overwhelmingly rejected the idea of creating an EU single market for online gambling, backing member states’ right to decide on market liberalisation.”

Posted in Regulations | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

How to create a set of prediction markets on HubDub

Question Guidelines: All the questions on Hubdub are created by users. To make sure the standard of questions is high for everyone we void questions that don’t fit our guidelines. If you have a question you’d like to ask but … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment