Monthly Archives: March 2009

How that prediction market consultant in Holland attracts economic advisers on the cheap

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Dear Mr. [PROFESSOR'S NAME GOES HERE], I am writing on behalf of [PREDICTION MARKET SOFTWARE VENDOR'S NAME], a Netherlands based consulting firm, because our research has identified you as a scholar with some expertise in Prediction Markets or a related … Continue reading →

Posted in Consulting, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

I bet that those academic scholars…

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

… never traveled to Holland and wouldn’t be able to pinpoint The Netherlands on a world map. Next: How some US-based university professors endorsed a Holland-based consultancy firm

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Max Keiser’s The Oracle

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
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Damped polls are superior to prediction markets as election predictors.

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors? – (PDF file) – by Chris Wlezien and Robert Erikson – 2007 Abstract Election markets have been praised for their ability to forecast election outcomes, and to forecast better than … Continue reading →

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Damped polls outperform prediction markets.

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Forecasting Principles: Damping polls Evidence from the literature shows that polls, in particular early in the campaign, are not reliable in predicting election outcomes but tend to overestimate the extent to which a candidate leads. To deal with these uncertainties, … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Comparison of Multicriteria and Prediction Market Approaches for Technology Foresight

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The paper compares two forecasting methods to assess technologies (MCDM and PM) without writing “accuracy” in it, but efficiency and velocity. Comparison of Multicriteria and Prediction Market Approaches for Technology Foresight View more presentations from Cédric Gaspoz. (tags: multi-criteria web2.0) … Continue reading →

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Séraphine

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
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You Should Be Using LinkedIn for Demand Generation.

Posted on March 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Louis Gray

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Chris Masse’s InterPol file

Posted on March 6, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Chris Masse .com: Chris F. Masse is NOT a Fraud But come on, would saying he is really be libel? Seems like a rather subjective statement to me in the first place. What is the metric for “fraud-ship”, anyway? Chris … Continue reading →

Posted in Humor | Tagged , | 36 Comments

Awesome interview of the new BetFair CTO

Posted on March 6, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Awesome interview of the new BetFair CTO — Part One Awesome interview of the new BetFair CTO — Part Two

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology, Inventions & Innovations, People, Software | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment