Monthly Archives: March 2009

Technical architecture for prediction markets

Posted on March 11, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Wisdom Hive: [...] Our aim is to provide the best of both worlds: the rapid flow of data provided by a messaging pattern, along with the efficient access to the less-frequently changing data via a RESTful HTTP interface. It’s on … Continue reading →

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Who did it?

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Who was behind chrismasse.com and/or overcomingmidas.com?

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Removal

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Here is my listing of prediction market consultants. The listing is intended to display serious and professionally minded consultants, only.

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Chris Masse will admit to being behind chrismasse.com and/or overcomingmidas.com.

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Chris Masse will admit to being behind chrismasse.com and/or overcomingmidas.com – Background: See http://www.midasoracle.org/tag/chris-f-masse-is-a-fraud/ Settlement details: True if Chris Masse admits to being behind chrismasse.com and/or overcomingmidas.com on one of his sites (chrisfmasse|midasoracle).(org|com|net) or other verifiable means. – Good bet. … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Midas Oracle Administration | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Cheltenham Festival 2009

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

As I said the other day on the other blog, our British readers betting on horses might be interested in following the coverage of this horseracing event by Mike Robb at BetFair Predicts. Best of luck to you. PS: BetFair … Continue reading →

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How Jed Christiansen assesses the news article on EPMs by The Economist

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Jed Christiansen: So I believe the article is generally positive toward the possibility of prediction markets, but generally negative toward the lack of adoption. OK. This “lack of adoption” has been going on for some years, now. The passing of … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Chris Masse is actually bullish on (enterprise and public) prediction markets.

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Just 2 short thoughts to respond to Jed Christiansen, who was kind enough to analyze my prediction market statement. Strangely, Chris’ writings on prediction markets have become quite negative in recent months. I am actually trying to be more realistic … Continue reading →

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The IP numbers were fudged.

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Dear readers, Somebody did set up a website making a fool of me. Searching who is behind this turned out the IP address of the NewsFutures server —but Emile Servan-Schreiber is as innocent as a lamb because this data was … Continue reading →

Posted in Midas Oracle Administration | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Is the future of enterprise prediction markets promising?

Posted on March 10, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Panos Ipeirotis: The market for “enterprise forecasting”, or “predictive analytics” (a subset of “business intelligence”, “data mining”) is a very promising direction but I doubt that predictive analytics will be a billion dollar industry by itself anytime soon. (http://www.informationweek.com/news/business_intelligence/analytics/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=208402971). Of … Continue reading →

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Niall is not happy…

Posted on March 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Niall O’Connor: Cowardly bastards …if this can be confirmed I will pass the story on to one of my contacts at the Guardian. And I will ensure that the other cowards who received emails last Friday about the websites, but … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics | Tagged , , | 7 Comments