Midas Oracle .ORG
Prediction Markets, etc.
Skip to content
  • Home
  • About
    • Kudos
    • Terms Of Use
    • Thanks
  • Archives
    • Categories
    • Pages
    • Posts
    • Tags
  • Authors
    • Code Of Conduct
    • How To Join Us
    • How To Publish
  • Best
  • Contact
  • IT
  • Links
  • Predictions
    • Exchanges
    • Post Mortem
    • Software
← “elevator pitch for prediction markets”
EPMs: CrowdCast is on the defensive / offensive. →

Conditional Likelihood Loss

Posted on March 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- Nate Silver: 0.6032

- InTrade: 0.3699

InTrade looks much better than Nate Silver on the Oscars 2009.

Waiting for the HubDub numbers, now. Nigel, are you napping or what?

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
View all posts by Chris F. Masse →
This entry was posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities and tagged accuracy, conditional likelihood loss, HubDub, InTrade, Nate Silver, Oscars, Oscars 2009, prediction markets. Bookmark the permalink.
← “elevator pitch for prediction markets”
EPMs: CrowdCast is on the defensive / offensive. →

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

  • Meta

    • Log in
    • Entries RSS
    • Comments RSS
    • WordPress.org
  • Recent Posts

    • Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
    • Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
    • Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
    • Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
    • Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
    • Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
    • Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
    • Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
    • A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
    • The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
    • Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
    • Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
    • Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
    • A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
    • Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
    • Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
    • Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
    • Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
    • Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
    • Computers thru time — [CHART]
Midas Oracle .ORG
Proudly powered by WordPress.