Monthly Archives: February 2009

Max Keiser’s The Oracle — Andy Zaltzman and Leo Johnson — 20 February 2009

Posted on February 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

…”an entertaining and irreverent look at the causes and consequences of the global economic crisis”. I view “The Oracle” as infotainment —it is serious news about the world of financial markets and the global economy, but it is also an … Continue reading →

Posted in Entertainment, Finance, Humor, The Global Economy | Tagged Andy Zaltzman, BBC, BBC World, BBC World News, Entertainment, Finance, global economy, infotainment, Leo Johnson, Max Keiser, Stacy Herbert, The Oracle, US economy | Leave a comment

BetFair penalized by Google?

Posted on February 20, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I have surveyed the PageRanks of the main prediction exchanges. – InTrade: 7 / 10 – BetFair: 6 / 10 — It was 7 / 10, at one time, in the past. – Iowa Electronic Markets: 6 / 10 – … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged BetFair, BetFair Predicts, Betting @ BetFair, Google, Internet Marketing, Internet presence, InTrade, marketing, PageRank, prediction markets, Search Engine Optimization, SEO, SEO tricks | Leave a comment

JFK + The passing of time + The prediction markets

Posted on February 20, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

A president of the United States Of America was assassinated in Dallas, on Friday, November 22, 1963. That was the 9/11 of that era. Following the arrest (and assassination) of Lee Harvey Oswald, a number of people advocated his innocence … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), History | Tagged enterprise prediction markets, JFK, JFK assassination, John F. Kennedy, prediction markets, public prediction markets, The Passing Of Time, The Truth About Prediction Markets | 6 Comments

Prediction markets didn’t “revolutionize” decision-making —and will never do. However, they are a nice condiment to the classic forecasting toolkit.

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I have spent several hours re-reading the 2004 AEI-Brookings book, “Information Markets” (by which they mean “prediction markets”). It is a collection of un-enlightening research articles —except for the IEM article, which is outstanding, both on the factual and theoretical … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged 2008 US presidential election, accuracy, AEI-Brookings, Bob Hahn, Collective Decision Making, decision making, efficiency, enterprise prediction markets, Information Markets, Paul Tetlock, prediction markets, public prediction markets, Robert Hahn, The Truth About Prediction Markets, velocity | Leave a comment

Did Xpree and Inkling Markets forecast that?

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Electronic Arts, the world’s largest game publisher, best known for Madden and the Sims, lost $641 million in 2008′s fourth quarter. Both Xpree and Inkling Markets boast Electronic Arts as their client. Previously: The truth about prediction markets

Posted in Business, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Electronic Arts, enteprise prediction markets, inkling markets, prediction markets, Xpree | Leave a comment

Madoff liquidator subpoenas HedgeStreet.

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Reuters

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged Bernard Madoff, Bernie Madoff, Finance, HedgeStreet, prediction markets | Leave a comment

The search for velocity — TradeFair Edition

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Martin Thompson, Engineering Director at TradeFair: Every sub-millisecond counts for our customers. They need to be able to pull a price, if the market moves, in order to reduce the risk and allow them to run the spread tighter. Also, … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology, Software | Tagged BetFair, Martin Thompson, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, Software, software for prediction markets, TradeFair, trades, transactions, velocity | 6 Comments

The HHS–Sebelius prediction market might be (yet) another case-in-point for documenting velocity.

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

It is only today (February 19) that the New York Times emerges out of hibernation and headlines: – Kansas Governor Seen as Top Choice in Health Post. — Gov. Kathleen Sebelius is emerging as President Obamaâ€™s top choice for secretary … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Midas Oracle Project | Tagged Barack Obama, Health and Human Services, HHS, HubDub, InTrade, Kathleen Sebelius, Open Institute Of Prediction Markets, prediction markets, The Truth About Prediction Markets, United States Department of Health and Human Services | 2 Comments

Allen Stanford vs. Bernie Madoff

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- Will Allen Stanford be located by the end of February? – If Allen Stanford isn’t found, will his assets be traced and frozen? – Cross-posted from Midas Oracle .NET

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Allen Stanford, Bernard Madoff, Bernie Madoff, Finance, HubDub, ponzi schemes, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Broken Link

Posted on February 18, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Ask The Market – 2007 Put the URL of the PDF file in the address box of your browser (as opposed to clicking on it, or right-clicking on it). http://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/region_focus/2007/spring/pdf/feature1.pdf

Posted in Miscellaneous | Tagged Ask The Market | Leave a comment

Monthly Archives: February 2009

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