Monthly Archives: February 2009

The Economist: The enterprise prediction markets are flopping, big time.

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

An uncertain future – A novel way of generating forecasts has yet to take off. – by The Economist – 2009-02-26 – But although they have spread beyond early-adopting companies in the technology industry, they have still not become mainstream … Continue reading →

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HubDub: “We nailed all 50 states; Panos did not.”

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
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Statistical-based predictive scoring metrics and analytical decision solutions

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Predictive Metrics

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World Blogging Month (WoBloMo)

Posted on February 26, 2009 by David Pennock

Our fearless conductor Chris Masse has mastered the art of blogging, including the key ingredient of consistent daily posts. He knows what Stephen King knows: quantity and quality can be friends. For a pseudo-blogger like me intimidated by those seven … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
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Prediction exchanges can now offer the New York Times in their mix.

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The New York Times Newswire API

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The Wonderful Madame Carla Bruni

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- © NewsFutures – © NewsFutures – Will the marriage of President of France Nicolas Sarkozy to Carla Bruni survive for more than 2 years? – When will Nicolas Sarkozy and Carla Bruni break up ?

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Panos Ipeirotis wants HubDub (and others) to set up meta-markets —as an anti-bragging medecine.

Posted on February 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Panos Ipeirotis: Actually, I would like to see for such collective events (senate races, oscars etc), to see a “meta-market” in each exchange: “How many events is our exchange going to guess correctly?” In principle, it should be possible to … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments

“It is their velocity that we should put to work.”

Posted on February 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Remember what the great Chris Masse said? Nate Silver applies the approach to Bobby Jindal. Note that accuracy is out of the picture (since 2012 is far away) —as I said, the velocity argument is impermeable to inaccuracy and backfires. … Continue reading →

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Harnessing Crowds: Mapping the Gehome of Collective Intelligence

Posted on February 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Harnessing Crowds: Mapping the Gehome of Collective Intelligence – (PDF file) – by Thomas W. Malone, Robert Laubacher, Chrysanthos Dellarocas – 2009-02-XX

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