Monthly Archives: January 2009

Prediction markets feed on facts and expertise.

Via Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock of Odd Head and YooPick, the dear honorable Duncan Watts: In part because of disappointing findings such as this, an increasingly popular substitute for expert opinions are so-called “prediction markets,” in which individuals buy … Continue reading

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Is Chris Masse a spammer?

In response to the remark posted by the charming Bo Cowgill, I am not the author of the spamming comment referred to by David Pennock. Being a smart and investigative researcher, David Pennock understood that already, and aimed at analyzing … Continue reading

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$1.2 million of fresh money for HubDub’s development

HubDub blog VentureBeat TechCrunch UK -

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Nate Silver at TED 2009

TED 2009

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Max is hilarious.

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8 Predictions for Enterprise Web 2.0 in 2009

- Via Inkling -

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Prediction Markets in India

Eric Zitzewitz (in the November 2008 edition of The Analyst, an Indian publication for financial analysts): I think the CFTC is likely to define a set of limits which, if followed, will subject a prediction [exchange] to CFTC regulation which … Continue reading

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The San Francisco conference on prediction markets

I previously wrote that that San Francisco vendor conference is not worth the $400 they are asking. However, in all honesty to my readers, I shall notify that they have just made one (small) change that goes in the right … Continue reading

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Handbags are down as one info-tech predictor defends his reputation against the one-year-later reality check done by HubDub.

HubDub has investigated and graded the 2008 predictions of some notorious pundits. One of those pundits didn’t take it graciously —look down for the comments. -

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Over the airwaves, Australian reporters (employed by a media company sponsored by BetFair Australia) cited the BetFair odds about a cricket match.

… and what followed is unchained fury of cataclysmic proportions. -

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