Monthly Archives: January 2009

Thomas Malone on Collective Intelligence

Posted on January 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Tom Malone – Program for the Future Dec. 8 View more presentations or upload your own. (tags: collective intelligence) – Download this post if you don’t see the embedded presentation. – Via Mike Linksvayer -

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The Open Institute Of Prediction Markets

Posted on January 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

If you want to volunteer your time for the yet-to-be-created “Open Institute Of Prediction Markets“, please e-mail me at: chrisfmasse at gmail dot com Thanks. -

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The prediction markets chalk another one up.

Posted on January 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

New York Governor David Paterson has decided: the US Senator of New York will be Kirsten Gillibrand. (More on the other blog.) – - Who will fill Hillary Clinton’s Senate seat? – As we blogged many times, on Midas Oracle, … Continue reading →

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Good Taste?

Posted on January 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Will Ted kennedy still be alive on August 1st 2009?

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A 16-year-old list of unthinkable futures —i.e., probabilities we tend to dismiss without thinking

Posted on January 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Unthinkable Futures – by Kevin Kelly and Brian Eno – 1993 Via Ari Garber -

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Scott Page

Posted on January 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Scott Page @ LinkedIn -

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MBAs on Enterprise Prediction Markets

Posted on January 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Alan H.: During the class, Adam Siegel, the founder of Inkling Markets, a prediction markets consulting firm, spoke about his experiences. Of the benefits, he said that prediction markets bring clarity around information, prevent political fudging and backstabbing regarding information. … Continue reading →

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Robin Hanson has convinced Concensus Point to support combinatorial prediction markets.

Posted on January 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: I’ve developed a combinatorial betting tech that lets a few or many users edit an always-coherent joint probability distribution over all value combinations of some set of base variables. Far futures base variables might include the years of … Continue reading →

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Climate Change Prediction Markets

Posted on January 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

iPredict New Zealand on temperature derivative markets -

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Obstacles to Prediction Market Adoption

Posted on January 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

BusinessWeek: Harrah’s is setting up a pilot prediction market to forecast customer activity in one of its domestic casino operations. [...] Since the power of prediction markets hinges on effectively tapping into cognitive diversity throughout an organization, Page also argues … Continue reading →

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