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Recent Posts
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
- Why Samsung is no Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney @ Bain Capital — [VIDEO]
- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
- Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]
- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
- Much better than a bike… and more affordable than a SegWay… –> The Me-Mover — [VIDEO]
- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: January 2009
Max Keiser’s The Oracle #3 — BBC World News
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Posted in Entertainment, Finance, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Humor, The Global Economy
Tagged BBC, BBC World, BBC World News, Max Keiser, The Oracle
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Midas Oracle is an ubiquitous addiction.
The San Francisco conference speakers frantically download our frontpage to get the latest, once their 10 minutes on the podium are over. Here’s our web analytics, this morning (Pacific Time): – - The final number will probably be 3 or … Continue reading
The hype is over. The party is over. — Part II
Since the 2008 US presidential election, no more posts on prediction markets at Freakonomics. Previously: Part I -
2010 US Elections
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The hype is over. The party is over.
With respect to the 2008 US presidential elections, the prediction markets just mirrored the polls (and took a losing bet on Missouri). In hindsight, most of the media coverage about prediction markets prior to November 4, 2008, was pure hype … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), History, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism
Tagged 2008 US presidential elections, Forecasting (Science & Practice), hype, InTrade, polls, prediction markets
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Wikipedia versus Britannica
If you are interested in Wikipedia, and have 5 minutes, I highly recommend that you read what the president of the Britannica Encyclopedia says about Wikipedia. It’s all sour grapes from his part, but, read it, it is insightful. -
Baseball, then politics…
Which field could Nate Silver attack next? -
InTrade messed up badly with its prediction market on the likelihood of an economic depression.
The criticism first appeared on the InTrade forum, but John Delaney ignored them. Then, it spreads on the Blogosphere. InTrade has been ridiculed for setting up illogical contracts. InTrade has just issued a correction. Once again, we see a lack … Continue reading
Erik Snowberg on the prediction markets about the 2008 US presidential elections
Andy Eggers: So to sum up, I liked the use of prediction markets to estimate the conditional general election probability for a candidate at a point in time, and I think it’s worth getting some estimates of how particular events … Continue reading
OneSeason.com
TechCrunch VentureBeat Previously -
Posted in Betting, Entertainment, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged OneSeason
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