Monthly Archives: January 2009

Why would I twitter if I can facebook?

Posted in Miscellaneous | Tagged , | 1 Comment

The most amazing journalistic thing I read this early morning

Nate Silver spanking the Wall Street Journal till their ass become as red as Sicilian tomatoes. -

Posted in Politics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Will Chris Masse of MidasOracle.org create a Twitter account in 2009?

It is a new prediction market at AskMarkets. I haven’t made up my mind yet. Many people told me I should invade Twitter. On the other hand, do I really need to waste time in small conversations? – “prediction markets” … Continue reading

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

Censorship?

Midas Oracle is the only media to have published about the Lee–Moretti paper. – Learning in Investment Decisions: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Polls – (PDF file) – David S. Lee and Enrico Moretti – 2008-12-XX In this paper, we … Continue reading

Posted in Midas Oracle Archives, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , | Leave a comment

A graph with a data point for each state, with the horizontal axis representing the polling data and the vertical axis representing the Intrade contract price

Via Andrew Gelman On November 3, 2008:

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Buy up a play-money prediction exchange with all its traders

… on eBay. -

Posted in Business, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

“Entrepreneur” is a French word.

Posted in Business, Entrepreneurship | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Bernard Henry-Lévy is a fabulist.

I have conducted an investigation into that French thinker (who is the heir of a rich businessman), and my sad conclusion is that that guy is a fabulist who is not to be trusted. He is not respectful of the … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Politics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Making the Web works for science as it does for culture and commerce

Creative Commons’ Science Project Open Innovation It is something I will investigate more in conjunction with my project about The Open Institute Of Prediction Markets. -

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Inventions & Innovations, Philanthropy, Science, The Internet | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Prediction markets in security of cryptographic primitives

What the fuck is that?? -

Posted in Miscellaneous | Tagged | 1 Comment