Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
I have conducted an investigation into that French thinker (who is the heir of a rich businessman), and my sad conclusion is that that guy is a fabulist who is not to be trusted.
He is not respectful of the facts. I would go further: I think he is a mythomaniac —he mingles his fantasy with reality.
Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Chris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Jason Ruspini on Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.Jason Ruspini on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”