Collective Intelligence – Prediction Markets – NewsFutures

I am republishing those YouTube videos, because now I know how to make them appear in the feed readers (e.g., Google Reader). So I hope that, this time, my 1,000+ feed subscribers will watch those videos.

-

Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures

YouTube videos:

-

1/2

PART 1: EVIDENCE OF PREDICTION MARKET ACCURACY

-

2/2

PART 2: WHY PREDICTION MARKETS ARE ACCURATE

-

Q&A1

Q&A 1: Aren’t political prediction markets just following the polls?

-

Q&A2

Q&A 2: Why did prediction markets fail to predict the lack of weapons of mass destruction in Irak?

-

Q&A3

Q&A 3: Would market predictions still be accurate if everyone believed them?

-

Q&A4

Q&A 4: Is Democracy ready for prediction markets?

-

Q&A5

Q&A 5: How can trading prices translate into probabilities if individual traders don’t trade accordingly?

-

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
This entry was posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply