TradeSports will terminate itself on November 28, 2008.
A very sad day (which I am not glad to report that I predicted would happen). TradeSports is probably the latest victim of both the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 and the Louisiana prosecutors. It is also the victim of a lack of support from the prediction market luminaries. As for the pertinence of the InTrade-TradeSports splitting that was started in 2007, I leave this issue to the business historians.
InTrade (which does not float event derivatives on sports) is caught in the same regulatory net, but CEO John Delaney hopes that the CFTC could soon legalize event derivative exchanges —except those on sports. That is far from certain, though. And InTrade’s heyday is now over. See you in 2012, for the next presidential election.
The Sporting Exchange (which operates BetFair) is making a very different bet: the United States of America will one day legalize the betting exchanges and the trading on sports. That is a reasonable, long-term bet. But not all the Democratic legislators favor Internet gambling and betting —far from it. We will see.
The future is spelled “BetFair”, but many of my readers don’t like the way they display odds —Americans prefer probabilities.
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It’s not just that they don’t use odds I understand. If I could bet there, I’d be happy to build myself a widget or a greasemonkey script that fixed the odds for me. But they emphatically don’t want my business. I’m not a prediction market watcher, I’m a user and an implementer. What do you think they have that I should be interested in?
“What do you think they have that I should be interested in?”
Of course, you are a bit…
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Probabilities on the next Ice Hockey games.
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“I’m not a prediction market watcher”
Come one…
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I compute your whole point, though. Thanks for your comment.
Why did John Delaney shut down TradeSports?
“TradeSports – a classless act – right to the very last day.”
http://www.sportstradingchatter.com/forums/showthread.php?p=1491#post1491_
InTrade’s Accounts and Balance Sheets — 2007 and 2008
http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/03/12/intrade-account-balance-sheet/