http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/07/california-ban-gay-marriage/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/07/california-ban-gay-marriage/#comment-22683 Michael Nielsen » Biweekly links for 11/10/2008 Mon, 10 Nov 2008 10:54:05 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=11282#comment-22683 [...] Intrade gets California Prop. 8 completely wrong. [...] [...] Intrade gets California Prop. 8 completely wrong. [...]

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/07/california-ban-gay-marriage/#comment-22656 Jason Carver Fri, 07 Nov 2008 20:35:47 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=11282#comment-22656 I understand that CA approved a similar ban 8 years ago, and polls were showing a slight lead to the Yes side, so the pricing on the contract seems a bit surprising... - Perhaps people just play on a lark with amounts so small that they consider it throw-away money and don't do significant research? I understand that CA approved a similar ban 8 years ago, and polls were showing a slight lead to the Yes side, so the pricing on the contract seems a bit surprising…
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Perhaps people just play on a lark with amounts so small that they consider it throw-away money and don’t do significant research?

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