Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Oops.

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Look at the right end of the chart:

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1 Comment to Oops.

  1. Jason Carver's Gravatar Jason CarverNo Gravatar
    November 7, 2008 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    I understand that CA approved a similar ban 8 years ago, and polls were showing a slight lead to the Yes side, so the pricing on the contract seems a bit surprising…
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    Perhaps people just play on a lark with amounts so small that they consider it throw-away money and don’t do significant research?

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