Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
The pretty good Andrew Gelman:
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This is a (not yet expired) static chart from InTrade on whether the RCP poll aggregation have been accurate:
Paul Hewitt on Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions
David Pennock on Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictionsPaul Hewitt on Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions
Chris F. Masse on In light of the upcoming “bursting” of the Cantor Exchange, Max Keiser have regrets about creating the Hollywood Stock Exchange.Chris F. Masse on Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions
Jason Ruspini on In light of the upcoming “bursting” of the Cantor Exchange, Max Keiser have regrets about creating the Hollywood Stock Exchange.Paul Hewitt on Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions
Martin Frindt on “Trading is a game —and we do the forecast!”
Niall O'Connor on Smarkets want you to believe that they are going after a much bigger betting market than BetFair’s one.Jason Ruspini on PROVEN AND DOCUMENTED: Joe Weisenthal is drunken with his own manipulation paranoia.