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Will Florida vote for Barack Obama or John McCain?

Posted on October 31, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Here’s a quick roundup of the state polls and of the prediction markets… for the state of Florida.

Data were taken around 1:00 pm —this Friday, October 31, 2008.

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#1. PREDICTION MARKETS

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InTrade: Florida will vote Barack Obama.

Price for Alabama - Florida at intrade.com

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HubDub: Florida will vote Barack Obama.

Who will win Florida in the 2008 Presidential Election?

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BetFair: Florida will vote for Barack Obama.

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#2. STATE POLLS

- CNN: Florida is too close to call.

- Electoral-Vote.com: Florida is “barely” for Barack Obama.

- RCP: Florida is slightly (+3.5) for Barack Obama.

- Nate Silver: Florida is slightly fo Barack Obama (pale blue).

- Pollster.com: Florida is a “toss up”.

- PollTrack: Florida is “too close to call”.

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About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
View all posts by Chris F. Masse →
This entry was posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities and tagged 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Florida, HubDub, InTrade, John McCain, polls, prediction markets, US politics, US presidential elections. Bookmark the permalink.
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