Comments on: What is the real social utility of the InTrade prediction markets? http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/ Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off Sun, 21 Mar 2010 14:11:54 -0400 hourly 1 By: Yahoo! CEO Jerry Yang to step down — But the InTrade prediction market failed to foretell us that. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22780 Yahoo! CEO Jerry Yang to step down — But the InTrade prediction market failed to foretell us that. | Midas Oracle .ORG Tue, 18 Nov 2008 09:03:35 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22780 [...] passing, this failure reminds me that the biggest lie that the prediction market pushers propagate on the Web is that real-money prediction markets attract insiders’ information. You see [...] [...] passing, this failure reminds me that the biggest lie that the prediction market pushers propagate on the Web is that real-money prediction markets attract insiders’ information. You see [...]

]]> By: My open challenge to InTrade CEO John Delaney | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22616 My open challenge to InTrade CEO John Delaney | Midas Oracle .ORG Thu, 06 Nov 2008 10:06:40 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22616 [...] have already expressed my deep skepticism for this kind of grandiose [...] [...] have already expressed my deep skepticism for this kind of grandiose [...]

]]> By: Prediction Markets — The Day After | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22586 Prediction Markets — The Day After | Midas Oracle .ORG Wed, 05 Nov 2008 07:43:52 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22586 [...] Chris Masse is instructive: Don’t oversell. [...] [...] Chris Masse is instructive: Don’t oversell. [...]

]]> By: Prediction Markets — The Day After | Midas Oracle .COM http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22579 Prediction Markets — The Day After | Midas Oracle .COM Wed, 05 Nov 2008 07:39:51 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22579 [...] Chris Masse is instructive: Don’t oversell. [...] [...] Chris Masse is instructive: Don’t oversell. [...]

]]> By: How to oversell InTrade’s predictive power | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22537 How to oversell InTrade’s predictive power | Midas Oracle .ORG Tue, 04 Nov 2008 00:15:38 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22537 [...] This is typical of the overselling done by the InTrade pushers —they suppress the existence of the primary indicators (which event derivative traders rely on to get informed), and they tell gullible reporters that InTrade has magical power. It’s total bullshit. The life of the InTrade prediction market on “Joe Biden as the VP nominee” represented the simple reflection of what event derivative traders could read in the Press. There was no magic whatsoever. [...] [...] This is typical of the overselling done by the InTrade pushers —they suppress the existence of the primary indicators (which event derivative traders rely on to get informed), and they tell gullible reporters that InTrade has magical power. It’s total bullshit. The life of the InTrade prediction market on “Joe Biden as the VP nominee” represented the simple reflection of what event derivative traders could read in the Press. There was no magic whatsoever. [...]

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22454 Medemi Sun, 02 Nov 2008 09:25:08 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22454 Sorry Chris, just a final word on this :-D   Adonis,   FYI, I won't be back. They've closed my account on my request. I know there are at least a few people who are not going to be happy about this, but that's the way it is in Big Brother land.   I still believe I've been treated unfairly. It was a constructive comment and I was trying to get a point across. Unsuccesful in doing so, the forum moderator decided to ban me from the forum in stead of doing his/her job and moderate (edit) and/or give me a warning.   I don't have many regrets, but I'm really sorry I ever "set foot" on UK soil. How was I supposed to know ? Things are quite different here. You show good intention and you are granted the freedom to express your ideas/thoughts/beliefs, whatever they are. Sorry Chris, just a final word on this :-D
 
Adonis,
 
FYI, I won’t be back. They’ve closed my account on my request.
I know there are at least a few people who are not going to be happy about this, but that’s the way it is in Big Brother land.
 
I still believe I’ve been treated unfairly. It was a constructive comment and I was trying to get a point across. Unsuccesful in doing so, the forum moderator decided to ban me from the forum in stead of doing his/her job and moderate (edit) and/or give me a warning.
 
I don’t have many regrets, but I’m really sorry I ever “set foot” on UK soil. How was I supposed to know ? Things are quite different here. You show good intention and you are granted the freedom to express your ideas/thoughts/beliefs, whatever they are.

]]> By: Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22453 Chris F. Masse Sun, 02 Nov 2008 09:01:39 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22453 Mister Ruspini, I don't see how your comment can be related to what I said in the post. Mister Ruspini,

I don’t see how your comment can be related to what I said in the post.

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22444 Medemi Sat, 01 Nov 2008 14:44:33 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22444 <em>Dear Mr xxxx,   Thank you for your reply.   I can confirm the reason your forum access was suspended was due to inappropriate language used, in breach of the Terms & Conditions you signed up to. I am sure you are fully aware which comments these refer to and no further explanation will be offered. </em>--- I suggested that it would be better not to censor anything including terms like shit and piss, and that I would use them anyway. That must be what they are referring to. What I didn't add was that expressions like "taking the piss" and "I don't give a shit" are perfectly legit IMO. Maybe that's because I'm from a different country. Whatever, case closed. The end of my betdaq career. :-D They don't come much holier these days.   Dear Mr xxxx,
 
Thank you for your reply.
 
I can confirm the reason your forum access was suspended was due to inappropriate language used, in breach of the Terms & Conditions you signed up to. I am sure you are fully aware which comments these refer to and no further explanation will be offered.

—

I suggested that it would be better not to censor anything including terms like shit and piss, and that I would use them anyway. That must be what they are referring to.
What I didn’t add was that expressions like “taking the piss” and “I don’t give a shit” are perfectly legit IMO.
Maybe that’s because I’m from a different country. Whatever, case closed. The end of my betdaq career. :-D
They don’t come much holier these days.
 

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22443 Medemi Sat, 01 Nov 2008 14:10:45 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22443 Adonis, that response I got following an inquiry. I sent another one asking for more details.- <em>Hi,</em> <em> </em> <em>Thanks. In order to be able to determine whether I will be making use of betdaq's services in the future, I would like to learn what inappropritate content the moderator is referring to.</em> <em>I think you owe me that much when suspending my forum access.</em> <em> </em> <em>Awaiting you response.</em> <em>Sincerely,</em> <em>xxxx</em>   If it was my swearing, I can live with it. :-D  However, I don't think I'll get another response. We'll see. Adonis,

that response I got following an inquiry. I sent another one asking for more details.-

Hi,
 
Thanks. In order to be able to determine whether I will be making use of betdaq’s services in the future, I would like to learn what inappropritate content the moderator is referring to.
I think you owe me that much when suspending my forum access.
 
Awaiting you response.
Sincerely,
xxxx  

If it was my swearing, I can live with it. :-D  However, I don’t think I’ll get another response. We’ll see.

]]> By: Adonis http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/29/intrade-credit-rating-agencies/#comment-22442 Adonis Sat, 01 Nov 2008 14:02:27 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10904#comment-22442 The UK is indeed almost without hope, but when it sinks, beware that the tsunami doesn't swamp over the North Sea defences and swallow up the Netherlands! More seriously, have you been swearing online again? (lol) Email them & ask? Adonis The UK is indeed almost without hope, but when it sinks, beware that the tsunami doesn’t swamp over the North Sea defences and swallow up the Netherlands!

More seriously, have you been swearing online again? (lol)
Email them & ask?
Adonis

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