Comments on: Political prediction markets should “move beyond mere horse-race forecasts to demonstrate larger social value”. http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: What is the real social utility of the InTrade prediction markets? | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/#comment-22350 What is the real social utility of the InTrade prediction markets? | Midas Oracle .ORG Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:52:34 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10621#comment-22350 [...] (“Prediction Markets Have a Big Role to Play“). In my view, it is wrong to overvalue the real social utility of the prediction markets. We should not lie. We should not over-sell. We should tell the truth. We [...] [...] (“Prediction Markets Have a Big Role to Play“). In my view, it is wrong to overvalue the real social utility of the prediction markets. We should not lie. We should not over-sell. We should tell the truth. We [...]

]]> By: Can InTrade’s prediction markets really “contribute to solutions in avoiding future [financial] crises”? | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/#comment-22288 Can InTrade’s prediction markets really “contribute to solutions in avoiding future [financial] crises”? | Midas Oracle .ORG Sun, 26 Oct 2008 21:17:06 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10621#comment-22288 [...] Did InTrade set up a set of prediction markets, in the summer of 2008, aiming at forecasting the (then) “upcoming financial crisis”? I am afraid that the answer is “no”. [...] [...] Did InTrade set up a set of prediction markets, in the summer of 2008, aiming at forecasting the (then) “upcoming financial crisis”? I am afraid that the answer is “no”. [...]

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/#comment-22194 Medemi Mon, 20 Oct 2008 22:56:10 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10621#comment-22194 <em>"To my knowledge, InTrade hadn’t had any prediction market focused on the “looming credit crunch crisis" </em>To be able to prevent a crisis, we need more markets. John Delaney talked about that. We also need people with vision. Hopefully John Delaney is such a guy. One market I would like to see, is a market expressing the likelihood that the next president will still be alive, 12 months from his inauguration. We need it now, not 2 weeks from now. We're already too late. “To my knowledge, InTrade hadn’t had any prediction market focused on the “looming credit crunch crisis”

To be able to prevent a crisis, we need more markets. John Delaney talked about that. We also need people with vision. Hopefully John Delaney is such a guy.

One market I would like to see, is a market expressing the likelihood that the next president will still be alive, 12 months from his inauguration. We need it now, not 2 weeks from now.
We’re already too late.

]]> By: The New York Times on InTrade’s US political election prediction markets | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/#comment-22186 The New York Times on InTrade’s US political election prediction markets | Midas Oracle .ORG Mon, 20 Oct 2008 09:48:58 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10621#comment-22186 [...] See the comments on Midas Oracle here, here, here, and [...] [...] See the comments on Midas Oracle here, here, here, and [...]

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/#comment-22176 Medemi Sun, 19 Oct 2008 21:08:19 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10621#comment-22176 Do you hate me, Chris.  :-) Do you hate me, Chris.  :-)

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/19/utility-prediction-markets/#comment-22175 Medemi Sun, 19 Oct 2008 21:06:42 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10621#comment-22175 Whenever you're ready Chris, because you're falling behind rapidly. Whenever you’re ready Chris, because you’re falling behind rapidly.

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