Comments on: There is no manipulation going on in the InTrade political prediction markets. http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Freakonomics is the latest in a long series of (usually, serious) bloggers who have misinformed the public by stating that the institutional investor is manipulating the US political election prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22190 Freakonomics is the latest in a long series of (usually, serious) bloggers who have misinformed the public by stating that the institutional investor is manipulating the US political election prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG Mon, 20 Oct 2008 16:55:07 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22190 [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...] [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...]

]]> By: The New York Times on InTrade’s US political election prediction markets | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22184 The New York Times on InTrade’s US political election prediction markets | Midas Oracle .ORG Mon, 20 Oct 2008 09:48:52 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22184 [...] The NYT writer reports (without linking to it) the findings of the InTrade investigation about the behavior of their unnamed “institutional [...] [...] The NYT writer reports (without linking to it) the findings of the InTrade investigation about the behavior of their unnamed “institutional [...]

]]> By: Economics blogger Zubin Jelveh got it right about the InTrade hedging thing. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22173 Economics blogger Zubin Jelveh got it right about the InTrade hedging thing. | Midas Oracle .ORG Sun, 19 Oct 2008 20:19:02 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22173 [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...] [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...]

]]> By: A blogger at the New York Times misinforms the public about the alleged manipulations on the InTrade US political prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22160 A blogger at the New York Times misinforms the public about the alleged manipulations on the InTrade US political prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG Sun, 19 Oct 2008 06:26:27 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22160 [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...] [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...]

]]> By: The blogger at Marginal Revolution misinforms the public by repeating the misinterpretation thrown around by liberal hack Paul Krugman about the alleged manipulation on the InTrade prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22146 The blogger at Marginal Revolution misinforms the public by repeating the misinterpretation thrown around by liberal hack Paul Krugman about the alleged manipulation on the InTrade prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG Sat, 18 Oct 2008 16:05:21 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22146 [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...] [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...]

]]> By: Liberal hack (and Nobel Prize winner) Paul Krugman totally and completely misunderstands what InTrade CEO John Delaney said regarding the non-informational trades going on their US political prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22145 Liberal hack (and Nobel Prize winner) Paul Krugman totally and completely misunderstands what InTrade CEO John Delaney said regarding the non-informational trades going on their US political prediction markets. | Midas Oracle .ORG Sat, 18 Oct 2008 10:40:42 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22145 [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...] [...] John Delaney said that that firm has been hedging on InTrade —a normal and beneficial activity on the other (larger and more liquid) financial markets. [...]

]]> By: Jason Ruspini’s first guess about who is hedging on InTrade | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22140 Jason Ruspini’s first guess about who is hedging on InTrade | Midas Oracle .ORG Fri, 17 Oct 2008 07:45:37 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22140 [...] F. Masse October 17th, 2008 His first guess: that [...] [...] F. Masse October 17th, 2008 His first guess: that [...]

]]> By: Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22138 Chris F. Masse Fri, 17 Oct 2008 06:52:30 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22138 Jason, I have corrected the term. Jason, I have corrected the term.

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22137 Medemi Thu, 16 Oct 2008 22:53:45 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22137 Anyone who wants to purchase massive amount of shares in a relatively illiquid market is going to have to move the price. There is no easy easy way to do it. If you try, it will sometimes turn out to be more expensive. I do not know what the optimal acquiring rate is, but if it's too slow people will start to follow you. Anyone who wants to purchase massive amount of shares in a relatively illiquid market is going to have to move the price. There is no easy easy way to do it. If you try, it will sometimes turn out to be more expensive.
I do not know what the optimal acquiring rate is, but if it’s too slow people will start to follow you.

]]> By: Medemi http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/16/no-manipulation-intrade-prediction-markets/#comment-22136 Medemi Thu, 16 Oct 2008 22:35:27 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=10564#comment-22136 Told you, it's common. Even in highly liquified mature markets. What people should be focusing on when they suspect manipulation, is whether someone is spreading rumors or false information. Can't see any other way to make it work. Told you, it’s common. Even in highly liquified mature markets.
What people should be focusing on when they suspect manipulation, is whether someone is spreading rumors or false information. Can’t see any other way to make it work.

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