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I didn’t say who told me.
Anyway, I see on the iPredict FAQ that they are relaying the “Manipulation? Nah, don’t worry” message. That strikes me as a model result that might end-up doing more harm than good. Even if it’s true in the long run, and there’s little danger of self-fulfilling prophecies in prediction markets in their current form, a single incident can do a lot of damage to the credibility of whoever pushes that message too hard.
https://www.ipredict.co.nz/Main.php?do=help#faq
It was easy to divine.
I didn’t say who told me.
Anyway, I see on the iPredict FAQ that they are relaying the “Manipulation? Nah, don’t worry” message. That strikes me as a model result that might end-up doing more harm than good. Even if it’s true in the long run, and there’s little danger of self-fulfilling prophecies in prediction markets in their current form, a single incident can do a lot of damage to the credibility of whoever pushes that message too hard.
https://www.ipredict.co.nz/Main.php?do=help#faq
It was easy to divine.