Papers on prediction markets listed on Yiling Chen’s Harvard webpage:

Yiling Chen, Harvard

Yiling Chen, now at Harvard

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Publications

An Empirical Study of Dynamic Pari-mutuel Markets: Evidence from the Tech Buzz Game [PDF, 380k]

Yiling Chen, David M. Pennock, and Tejaswi Kasturi

The 10th Workshop on Web Mining and Web Usage Analysis (WebKDD), in conjunction with the 14th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD), Las Vegas, NV, August 2008.
Sharing Online Advertising Revenue with Consumers [PDF, 380k]

Yiling Chen, Arpita Ghosh, R. Preston McAfee, and David M. Pennock

The 4th Workshop on Ad Auctions, in conjunction with the 9th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), Chicago, IL, June 2008.

Complexity of Combinatorial Market Makers [PDF, 240k]

Yiling Chen, Lance Fortnow, Nicolas Lambert, David M. Pennock, and Jennifer Wortman

The 9th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), Chicago, IL, June 2008.

Self-Financed Wagering Mechanisms for Forecasting [PDF, 268k]

Nicolas Lambert, John Langford, Jennifer Wortman, Yiling Chen, Daniel Reeves, Yoav Shoham, and David M. Pennock

The 9th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), Chicago, IL, June 2008.

Winner of an Outstanding Paper Award at EC

A preliminary version titled “Betting with Budgets” appeared in the DIMACS Workshop on the Boundary Between Economic Theory and Computer Science, October 2007.

Pricing Combinatorial Markets for Tournaments [PDF, 520k]

Yiling Chen, Sharad Goel, and David M. Pennock

The 40th ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing (STOC), Victoria (BC), Canada, May 2008.

Combinatorial Betting [PDF, 124k]

Yiling Chen, Lance Fortnow, Evdokia Nikolova, and David M. Pennock

ACM SIGecom Exchanges, special issue on combinatorial auctions, vol. 7, no. 1, 2007.

Bluffing and Strategic Reticence in Prediction Markets [PDF, 146k]

Yiling Chen, Daniel M. Reeves, David M. Pennock, Robin D. Hanson, Lance Fortnow, and Rica Gonen

Proc. of the International Workshop on Internet and Network Economics (WINE), San Diego, CA, December 2007.

A preliminary version appeared at The Second Workshop on Prediction Markets, in conjunction with ACM Conference of Electronic Commerce (EC), San Diego, CA, June 2007.

A longer version with complete proofs [PDF, 204k]

A Utility Framework for Bounded-Loss Market Makers [PDF, 183k]

Yiling Chen and David M. Pennock

Proc. of the 23rd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI), pp. 49–56, Vancouver, BC Canada, July 2007.

A longer version with complete proofs in Appendix [PDF, 244k]

Betting on Permutations [PDF, 175k]

Yiling Chen, Lance Fortnow, Evdokia Nikolova, and David M. Pennock

Proc. of the 8th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), pp. 326–335, San Diego, CA, June 2007.

Socially Embedded Prediction Markets [PDF, 281k]

Yiling Chen and David M. Pennock

Special Issue Workshop for Economica on: The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implication, Palm Desert, CA, May 2007.

Predicting Uncertain Outcomes Using Information Markets: Trader Behavior and Information Aggregation [PDF, 250k]

Yiling Chen, Chao-Hsien Chu, and Tracy Mullen

New Mathematics and Natural Computation, vol. 2, no. 3, 2006.

An In-Depth Analysis of Information Markets with Aggregate Uncertainty [PDF, 348k]

Yiling Chen, Tracy Mullen, and Chao-Hsien Chu

Electronic Commerce Research, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 201–22, 2006.

Information Markets vs. Opinion Pools: An Empirical Comparison [PDF, 214k]

Yiling Chen, Chao-Hsien Chu, Tracy Mullen, and David M.Pennock

Proc. of the 6th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), pp. 58–67, Vancouver, BC Canada, June 2005.

Predicting Uncertain Outcomes Using Information Markets [PDF, 54k]

Yiling Chen, Tracy Mullen, and Chao-Hsien Chu

Proc. of the 8th Joint Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS), Salt Lake City, UT, July 2005.

Theoretical Investigation of Prediction Markets with Aggregate Uncertainty [PDF, 89k]

Yiling Chen, Tracy Mullen, and Chao-Hsien Chu

Proc. of the 7th International Conference on Electronic Commerce Research (ICECR), pp. 81–90, Dallas, TX, June 2004.

A Bipartite Graph Co-Clustering Approach for Ontology Mapping [PDF, 137k]

Yiling Chen and Frederico Fonseca,

Workshop of Semantic Web Technologies for Searching and Retrieving Scientific Data, in conjunction with the 2nd International Semantic Web Conference (ISWC), Sanibel Island, FL, October, 2003.

An Introduction to Support Vector Machines: A Review [PDF, 13k]

Yiling Chen and Isaac G. Council

AI Magazine, vol. 24, no.2, pp. 105–106, 2003.

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Price Changes and Trading Volume in China Stock Market (In Chinese)

Yiling Chen, and Fengming Song

Journal of Management Sciences in China, vol.3 no.2, pp. 62–68, 2000.

Theses

Markets as an Information Aggregation Mechanism for Decision Support [PDF, 630k]

Ph.D. Dissertation, School of Information Sciences and Technology, The Pennsylvania State University, December 2005.

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Price Changes and Trading Volume in China Stock Market

MS Thesis, School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, June 1999.

Tutorial

Prediction Markets: Economics, Computation, and Mechanism Design [PDF, 1795k]

A half-day tutorial at ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), San Diego, CA, June, 2007.

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PS: With Lance Fortnow and Daniel Reeves, Yiling Chen is a member of the Pennock gang.

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
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